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151 Walnut St
C Composite 58.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

151 Walnut St · Spring City, PA 19475
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,565 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1850 3,030 sqft lot $169/sqft · 31% below area Est $384k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming twin in the heart of Spring City, meticulously cared for by a long-time owner and rich with character. Originally built in 1850, this home blends historic charm with thoughtful updates completed over the years, offering a unique living space you won’t find in newer construction and the perfect opportunity to add your own modern touches over time. Features include beautiful flooring in the kitchen area, spacious living areas, and a private yard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of first-floor laundry and two off-street parking spots. Located within the Spring-Ford Area School District. Being sold as-is, and conveniently located near local shops, dining,

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1850
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two off-street parking spaces; On-street parking available; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Hot water: electric; Heating fuel: natural gas and electric
  • Home design: Semi-detached structure; Above-grade living space reported (finished area estimated)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water baseboard heating; Wall unit cooling; Ductless / mini-split cooling
  • Interior features: Basement with sump pump; Not furnished; Living area reported as estimated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (3.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#259 in PA, #2,250 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
  • Spring-Ford Area SD (suburban): math 58% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #23 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $256,808 (3.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.95%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$383,871
List price
$265,000
Delta
-30.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 S And K St 0.12mi 4/2.5 1,602 (+2%) 4mo $422,250 $264 81
21 N Church St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,629 (+4%) 6mo $345,000 $212 65
116 Pikeland Ave 0.10mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,373 (-12%) 2mo $445,500 $324 62
149 Hall St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,704 (+9%) 8mo $260,000 $153 59
210 New St 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,635 (+4%) 3mo $387,500 $237 57
314 Chestnut St 0.33mi 4/1.0 1,680 (+7%) 20mo $302,000 $180 55
424 Arch St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,482 (-5%) 1mo $417,990 $282 53
526 New St 0.58mi 4/1.5 1,691 (+8%) 7mo $360,000 $213 52
431 Walnut St 0.22mi 4/1.0 1,764 (+13%) 21mo $390,000 $221 51
804 Maple Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,586 (+1%) 8mo $370,000 $233 51
121 N Cedar St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,506 (-4%) 20mo $347,000 $230 46
48 Quail Cir 0.37mi 4/2.5 1,778 (+14%) 22mo $515,000 $290 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-27,382
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-3,781
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19475

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,568 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,415/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$539
Net cashflow
$244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,259
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
902 Magnolia Ln Spring City, PA 3.0 2.5 1798 $3,200 $1.78 1d 1 0.35mi
50 Clover Pl #50 Royersford, PA 3.0 3.5 1742 $2,800 $1.61 44d 1 0.55mi
5 Cameron Ct Royersford, PA 3.0 2.5 1814 $2,700 $1.49 44d 1 0.58mi
263 Washington St Royersford, PA 3.0 1.5 1212 $2,600 $2.15 44d 1 0.61mi
337 Bridge St Spring City, PA 3.0 1.0 1611 $2,300 $1.43 18d 1 0.77mi
431 Main St Unit 2ND FLOOR Royersford, PA 3.0 1.0 2025 $2,200 $1.09 4d 1 0.88mi
431 Main St Unit 2ND FLOOR Royersford, PA 3.0 1.0 2025 $2,400 $1.19 44d 1 0.88mi
19 Roboda Blvd Royersford, PA 3.0 1.5 2000 $2,500 $1.25 44d 1 1.15mi
170 Providence Forge Rd Royersford, PA 3.0 2.5 1820 $2,400 $1.32 24d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 790-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $265,000 Active 790-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    historical $265,000 790-char remark
  4. 1979-08-01
    soldstatus $32,000
  5. 1979-08-01
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,415 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,801 · $317/mo
Expected delta
+$386/yr (+$32/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,817
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$3,415
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,465
− Management
−$2,465
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$1,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$338
After-tax cash flow
$3,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring-Ford Area SD
NCES district ID
4222560
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$84,931
Composite
60.97/100
National rank
#802
State rank
#23 of 539 in PA

Livability — Spring City

Score
79/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#2250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring City, PA
County
Chester County · 432,350 people
City population
12,298
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
12,298
Household income
$97,146
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
257.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.68%
Current HPI
274.2886
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+818.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $294,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1979-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1979-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,415 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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