568 Bahia Cir Unit B · Silver Springs Shores, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.
Key facts
- $301 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-660/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (7.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.7% in Silver Springs Shores — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $125k implies a 557% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.89%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,896
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- 17.95%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $28,343
- Equity at exit
- $77,985
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $79,573
- Equity at exit
- $140,966
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 674
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$301
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $-55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16 | -5% $-20 | +0% $-55 | +5% $-90 | +10% $-126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-55 | +5% $1 | +10% $57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8 | -0.5pp $-23 | base $-55 | +0.5pp $-87 | +1.0pp $-120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1031 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 561 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 549 Fairways Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 633 Silver Pass Unit B Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 553 Fairways Cir Unit B Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 532 Bahia Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 582 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 520 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 548 Fairways Cir Unit C102 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 510 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,299 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 708 Bahia Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 544 Silver Crse Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,395 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 454 Fairways Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 454 Fairways Cir Unit B203 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 454 Fairways Cir Unit B204 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $1,289 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 576 Fairways Ln Unit M104 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 567 Midway Trak Unit H201 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 608 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7817 Midway Drive Ter Unit A103 Ocala, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,300 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 54 Pine Trak Unit 104F Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,300 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 58 Pine Trak Unit 104D Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,050 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 62 Pine Trak Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9337 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,765 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 478 Water Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 455 Water Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 446 Water Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,425 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 162 Bahia Terrace Dr Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,375 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 12 Spring Loop Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 43 Bahia Pass Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,475 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13 Pine Radial Dr Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5 Cedar Ln Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 60 Bahia Court Trak Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7184 Hemlock Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,675 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7455 Midway Ter Unit K Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,249 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 308 Hickory Course Radl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 27 Sapphire Run Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $301 · $3,612/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 544-char remark
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $124,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $129,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.
-
2026-01-29$149,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.
-
2025-06-04historical
-
2025-05-07$144,900 Active
-
2014-04-24soldstatus $19,000
-
2008-08-22soldstatus $55,000
-
2008-08-20soldstatus $55,000
-
2008-06-01$65,000
-
1999-06-02soldstatus $33,800
-
1977-09-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,010 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,010 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,010
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − HOA
- −$3,612
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$2,579
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$619
- After-tax cash flow
- $-41/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #527
- US rank
- #9854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silver Springs Shores, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+333.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-04 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Listed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-20 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-01 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $33,800 Public Records
- 1977-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,010 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…