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568 Bahia Cir Unit B
D Composite 40.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$124,900

568 Bahia Cir Unit B · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · Condo public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1972 $117/sqft · 18% above area Est $106k · 18% over $301/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.

Key facts

  • $301 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1972

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-660/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (7.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.7% in Silver Springs Shores — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $125k implies a 557% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,896
List price
$124,900
Delta
17.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$28,343
Equity at exit
$77,985
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$79,573
Equity at exit
$140,966

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34472

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,010/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$301
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,488
Max offer price $115,182
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $16 -5% $-20 +0% $-55 +5% $-90 +10% $-126
Rent -10% $-167 -5% $-111 +0% $-55 +5% $1 +10% $57
Rate -1.0pp $8 -0.5pp $-23 base $-55 +0.5pp $-87 +1.0pp $-120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
593 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1031 $1,200 $1.16 21d 1 0.05mi
561 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1031 $1,250 $1.21 21d 1 0.07mi
549 Fairways Dr Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,200 $1.12 21d 1 0.07mi
633 Silver Pass Unit B Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,500 $1.40 21d 1 0.07mi
553 Fairways Cir Unit B Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,700 $1.30 14d 1 0.10mi
532 Bahia Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1027 $1,300 $1.27 21d 1 0.15mi
582 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,500 $1.15 21d 1 0.15mi
520 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1027 $1,100 $1.07 21d 1 0.18mi
548 Fairways Cir Unit C102 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 21d 1 0.20mi
510 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,299 $1.30 21d 1 0.20mi
708 Bahia Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,500 $1.11 21d 1 0.26mi
544 Silver Crse Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,395 $1.54 14d 1 0.26mi
454 Fairways Cir Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 837 $1,200 $1.43 21d 1 0.29mi
454 Fairways Cir Unit B203 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 21d 1 0.29mi
454 Fairways Cir Unit B204 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 837 $1,289 $1.54 21d 1 0.29mi
576 Fairways Ln Unit M104 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 837 $1,250 $1.49 21d 1 0.30mi
567 Midway Trak Unit H201 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1029 $1,350 $1.31 14d 1 0.32mi
681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 21d 1 0.33mi
681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 14d 1 0.33mi
608 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1054 $1,500 $1.42 14d 1 0.40mi
7817 Midway Drive Ter Unit A103 Ocala, FL 1.0 1.0 729 $1,300 $1.78 21d 1 0.51mi
54 Pine Trak Unit 104F Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $1,300 $1.56 21d 1 0.59mi
58 Pine Trak Unit 104D Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $1,050 $1.26 21d 1 0.62mi
62 Pine Trak Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $1,250 $1.50 21d 1 0.66mi
9337 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,765 $1.26 14d 1 0.67mi
478 Water Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,650 $1.34 21d 1 0.73mi
455 Water Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,450 $1.14 14d 1 0.84mi
446 Water Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,425 $1.14 21d 1 0.86mi
162 Bahia Terrace Dr Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,375 $1.40 21d 1 1.00mi
12 Spring Loop Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 14d 1 1.03mi
43 Bahia Pass Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,475 $1.24 21d 1 1.08mi
13 Pine Radial Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,795 $1.24 21d 1 1.19mi
5 Cedar Ln Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,750 $1.64 21d 1 1.23mi
60 Bahia Court Trak Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1413 $1,695 $1.20 21d 1 1.23mi
7184 Hemlock Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,675 $1.20 21d 1 1.23mi
7455 Midway Ter Unit K Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,249 $1.38 21d 1 1.38mi
308 Hickory Course Radl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1397 $1,650 $1.18 21d 1 1.43mi
27 Sapphire Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1255 $1,500 $1.20 21d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$301 · $3,612/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 544-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $124,900 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $129,900 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.

  17. 2026-01-29
    listed $149,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Beautiful second-floor condo featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This clean, well-maintained home offers a bright and airy feel throughout, withLight-toned carpeting that enhances the natural light. The kitchen is light and bright, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. A convenient stacked washer and dryer are included inside the unit. Comfortable, move-in ready, and thoughtfully cared for—this condo offers easy, low-maintenance living in a pleasant setting.

  18. 2025-06-04
    historical
  19. 2025-05-07
    listed $144,900 Active
  20. 2014-04-24
    soldstatus $19,000
  21. 2008-08-22
    soldstatus $55,000
  22. 2008-08-20
    soldstatus $55,000
  23. 2008-06-01
    listed $65,000
  24. 1999-06-02
    soldstatus $33,800
  25. 1977-09-01
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,010 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,010 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,020
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,010
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− HOA
−$3,612
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$2,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$619
After-tax cash flow
$-41/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Springs Shores, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,851
Household income
$64,208
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
255.0714
Rent YoY
▲ 0.17%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+333.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-04 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-07 Listed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-20 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-01 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $33,800 Public Records
  • 1977-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,010 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…