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4425 Nc 903
D+ Composite 45.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.5/5.0

$30,000

4425 Nc 903 · Stokes, NC 27871
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,094 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1901 Poor condition 1.49 ac lot Est $28k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with exceptional potential on 1.49 wooded acres in a rural setting. Built in 1901, this 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home offers approximately 1,094 square feet and includes an upstairs loft area with a half bath that can be used as a 3rd bedroom. There is a detached 12x16 outbuilding for additional storage. The property offers the potential to subdivide into 2 lots, presenting additional opportunities for investors, builders, or those seeking a redevelopment project. The home previously experienced roof leaks that caused ceiling damage prior to the roof being replaced. Mildew and possible mold are present. Property is being sold as-is and will require significant renovation or may

Key facts

  • Upstairs loft area
  • Detached outbuilding
  • Roof replaced

Tags

UPSTAIRS LOFT AREADETACHED OUTBUILDINGROOF REPLACEDSIGNIFICANT RENOVATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 1.49 acres
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Septic connected; Sewer connected; Water available
  • Home design: House; One and one-half stories; Wooded lot, not waterfront; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built with standard foundation (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Outbuilding; Heavily wooded lot; Two drive entrances

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and hardwood flooring; Fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#405 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.48%
Cap rate
40.43%
Cash-on-cash
121.93%
DSCR
6.43
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,444
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4425 Nc 903 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,094 (0%) 0mo $28,000 $26 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.90×
Total profit
$57,993
Equity at exit
$13,489
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.51×
Total profit
$130,300
Equity at exit
$20,789

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27871

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$853

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $30,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-28
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,113
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$10,382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,492
After-tax cash flow
$7,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovation, including roof replacement and exterior repairs, to become move-in ready. Significant value can be added through these improvements, enhancing both resale and rental potential.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage
  • Major siding — Weathered and damaged
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and debris-filled
  • Major fencing — In poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both roof replacement — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — Improves curb appeal and safety
  • Both fencing repair — Enhances safety and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage Major $15,000–50,000
siding · Weathered and damaged Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and debris-filled Major $15,000–50,000
fencing · In poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both roof replacement — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — Improves curb appeal and safety
  • Both fencing repair — Enhances safety and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pitt County Schools
NCES district ID
3700012
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,631
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4877
State rank
#100 of 178 in NC

Livability — Stokes

Score
63/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#15382

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,608
Population (ZIP)
3,559

Population outlook (Pitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,585 people
By 2030
203,756 · +4.7%
By 2040
220,807 · +13.5%
By 2050
236,614 · +21.6%
By 2075
275,940 · +41.8%
By 2100
300,058 · +54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 45% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pitt

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.0) · D 52.5% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: 6.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.0 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+7.4 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $30,000 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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