CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
829 Jennings St Duplex
A- Composite 84.77
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$599,000

829 Jennings St · New York, NY 10459
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1901 1,667 sqft lot Est $818k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Discover this well-maintained three-bedroom, two-bathroom two family located in the heart of the Bronx at 829 Jennings Street. Built in 1901, this 1,428-square-foot urban residence combines historic character with functional modern updates, offering an attractive option for buyers seeking solid bones and recent improvements. The home features a clean, minimalist interior with wooden flooring throughout and abundant natural light from multiple windows. The kitchen stands out with granite countertops, light-colored wood cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a gas range—recent upgrades that reflect owner care and attention to detail. Two full bathrooms provide convenience for a hous

Key facts

  • Flexible space
  • Granite countertops
  • Gas range

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGAS RANGECARPETED STAIRCASEFLEXIBLE SPACEWHITE SIDED FAÇADE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Duplex / townhouse; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Full unfinished basement with walk-out access and storage space
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Awning(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $599k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $599k).
  • Recommended offer: $527k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Ps 214 (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,418 of 2,108 statewide, top 68%, 836 students, 92% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $44k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $207k; list at $599k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $527,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.27%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$818,244
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
837 Jennings St 0.01mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,528 (+7%) 2mo $735,000 $481 73
1239 Evergreen Ave 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 15mo $825,000 $573 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$350,166
Equity at exit
$401,812
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$903,894
Equity at exit
$751,529

Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10459

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,141
Tax from tax record
$200 /mo · $2,399/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,596
Net cashflow
$2,413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,545
Max offer price $599,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,752 -5% $2,583 +0% $2,413 +5% $2,244 +10% $2,074
Rent -10% $1,813 -5% $2,113 +0% $2,413 +5% $2,713 +10% $3,014
Rate -1.0pp $2,715 -0.5pp $2,566 base $2,413 +0.5pp $2,258 +1.0pp $2,100

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,750
Closing costs
$17,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $599,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $599,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $599,000 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $599,000 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $599,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $599,000 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $599,000 Active 125 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $599,000 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $599,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $599,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $599,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-04-13
    price $599,000
  13. 2026-03-11
    price $675,000
  14. 2026-01-28
    listed $699,000 Active
  15. 2025-04-12
    listed $649,999 Active
  16. 2012-07-31
    historical
  17. 2012-07-31
    historical
  18. 2012-02-09
    listed
  19. 2012-02-09
    listed $276,000
  20. 2012-01-30
    historical
  21. 2011-03-15
    listed
  22. 2010-09-02
    historical
  23. 2009-09-02
    listed
  24. 2004-10-18
    soldstatus $207,100
  25. 2004-10-04
    soldstatus $362,250
  26. 2000-03-09
    soldstatus $185,000
  27. 2000-01-10
    soldstatus $125,000
  28. 1999-05-13
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,399 · $200/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,261 · $522/mo
Expected delta
+$3,862/yr (+$322/mo · 161.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$91,200
− Mortgage interest
−$33,553
− Property taxes
−$2,399
− Insurance
−$2,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,296
− Management
−$7,296
− Depreciation
−$17,425
Taxable income
$20,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,856
After-tax cash flow
$24,103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
49,753

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Black 29% Two or more races 16% White 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 31%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 55% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.66%
Current HPI
277.1628
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+444.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $675,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-12 Listed $649,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-31 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-31 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2012-02-09 Listed $276,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-09 Listed HGMLS
  • 2012-01-30 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2011-03-15 Listed HGMLS
  • 2010-09-02 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2009-09-02 Listed HGMLS
  • 2004-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $207,100 Public Records
  • 2004-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $362,250 Public Records
  • 2000-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2000-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,399 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…