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1527 14th St
B- Composite 67.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

1527 14th St · Port Arthur, TX 77640
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1962 7,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! This rare 2-for-1 property features two homes on one lot, offering endless potential for the right investor or visionary buyer. Both homes require a full rehab, making this the perfect blank canvas to design and create something truly special. Whether you're looking to renovate and rent, flip for profit, or build your dream multi-generational setup, the possibilities are wide open. With solid potential and priced to sell, this property is a steal of a value for anyone ready to bring their creativity and craftsmanship to life. Don’t miss the chance to transform this diamond in the rough into a true masterpiece!

Key facts

  • 2-for-1 property
  • Two homes on one lot
  • 7,000 sq ft lot

Tags

2-FOR-1 PROPERTYTWO HOMES ON ONE LOTMULTI-GENERATIONAL SETUP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1962; Single-story entry (first-floor living)
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (two 10x10; primary 10x12) — all on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Middle (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 722 students, 87% FRL); Memorial H S (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,385 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 2,116 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,226 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.83%
Cap rate
24.85%
Cash-on-cash
66.27%
DSCR
3.95
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,120
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1312 13th St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-8%) 5mo $99,900 $85 70
1110 15th St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,436 (+13%) 3mo $135,000 $94 52
1320 9th St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,425 (+12%) 8mo $90,000 $63 47
2217 Rev Dr Ransom Howard St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-10%) 18mo $30,000 $26 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.7%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$32,773
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
63.5%
Equity multiple
7.39×
Total profit
$80,274
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77640

Home prices YoY
-22.2%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,272 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $477
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1300 18th St Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 43d 1 0.31mi
1409 10th St Port Arthur, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 43d 1 0.35mi
1409 10th St Unit A Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1278 $1,275 $1.00 21d 1 0.35mi
311 12th St Port Arthur, TX 2.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 13d 1 0.88mi
2510 Avenue A Port Arthur, TX 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,500 $1.18 23d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $44,900 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $44,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-05-27
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,260
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$1,022
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,221
− Management
−$1,221
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$7,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,752
After-tax cash flow
$5,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Arthur ISD
NCES district ID
4835400
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
14.9/100
National rank
#9373
State rank
#796 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Arthur

Score
61/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#18061

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Arthur, TX
City population
38,358
Population (ZIP)
17,480

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.78%
Current HPI
167.6359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $44,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,021 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…