21100 NE Sandy Blvd #83 · Fairview, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Super Nice Home in the highly desirable Quail Hollow Mfg Home Community with a Large Clubhouse and In Ground Pool. Nice Living Room flows into a Dining Area with a Built-in Hutch. Family Room has a Pellet Stove, Ceiling Fan. The primary Bedroom has a Full Remodeled Bath with a Walk Shower and Ceiling Fan.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Covered carport
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property in a manufactured home park; Main level area approximately 1,140
- Financial info: Monthly lot rent applies
- HOA & community: Quail Hollow park with on-site management; Community amenities include commons, laundry, library, party room, and pool; Utilities handled: water, sewer, trash; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric fuel
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (one level); Not attached to another unit; Built in 1978; Skirting foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Skirting foundation; Composition roof; Year built: 1978
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot; Paved road access; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with attached bathroom and ceiling fan; Second bedroom on main level with closet and wall-to-wall carpet
- Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both located on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Pellet stove supplemental heat
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laundry area on main level; Washer and dryer included; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and select areas; Wall-to-wall carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Pellet stove; Vinyl window frames; Accessible design with minimal steps and abundant natural light; One-level living; utility room on main
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer and dryer; Utility room on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $926 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 2.7% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#85 in OR, #4,103 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F.
- Reynolds SD 7 (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #162 of 183 in OR (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (299 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds Middle School (837 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds High School (2,474 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.66%
- DSCR
- 3.52
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #76 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 5mo | $67,900 | $61 | 88 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #39 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (+6%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $61 | 85 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #72 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-4%) | 8mo | $109,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $72 | 76 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #2 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,236 (+7%) | 10mo | $49,000 | $40 | 74 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #77 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,010 (-12%) | 10mo | $86,200 | $85 | 68 |
| 20140 NE Sandy Blvd #103 | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $91 | 63 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #111 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,284 (+12%) | 20mo | $121,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 3201 NE 223rd Ave #41 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 15mo | $153,000 | $118 | 35 |
| 3201 NE 223rd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $96 | 35 |
| 2500 NE 201st Ave #47 | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,001 (-13%) | 21mo | $65,000 | $65 | 33 |
| 2500 NE 201st Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,001 (-13%) | 21mo | $65,000 | $65 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $42,572
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 55.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $93,528
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97024
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $389/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $926
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2655 NE 205th Ave Fairview, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,460 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2667 NE 205th Ave Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 22199 NE Sandy Blvd Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $2,200 | $3.11 | 3d | 27 | 0.41mi |
| 20454 NE Sandy Blvd Apt B26 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,722 | $1.81 | 20d | 7 | 0.42mi |
| 20454 NE Sandy Blvd Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 3d | 4 | 0.43mi |
| 609 Lincoln St Unit 609 Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,250 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 320 Lincoln St Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 21929 NE Halsey St Unit 201 Fairview, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1650 NE Market Dr Fairview, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,895 | $2.56 | 2d | 3 | 0.57mi |
| 230 Lincoln St Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 230 Lincoln St Apt 116 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 22100 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,947 | $1.94 | 3d | 10 | 0.61mi |
| 22025 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 21933 NE Chinook Way Fairview, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 874 | $1,802 | $2.06 | 2d | 8 | 0.65mi |
| 1497 NE Market Dr Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 20347 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 985 | $1,614 | $1.64 | 3d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 21958 NE Chinook Way Apt C Fairview, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 22032 NE Chinook Way Unit B Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,045 | $1.78 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 22032 NE Chinook Way Apt A Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 22620 NE Hancock St Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1559 NE 201st Ave Unit 104 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,475 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1559 NE 201st Ave Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,475 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 19927 NE Halsey St Unit 103 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,895 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO182 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,458 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO221 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 820 | $1,458 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO222 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,511 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO1101 Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,511 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 123 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,295 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 110 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $1,870 | $2.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 19849 NE Halsey St Unit 115 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,360 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 22920 NE Halsey St Wood Village, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,500 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 19511 NE Halsey St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20220 NE Glisan St Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,595 | $2.08 | 3d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 1303 NE 238th Dr Unit 1303 Wood Village, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $1,645 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 23901 NE Halsey St Wood Village, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 14d | 4 | 1.33mi |
| 20121 SE Stark St Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,714 | $1.96 | 2d | 5 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $389 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$290/yr (+$24/mo · 74.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,570
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$389
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $10,582
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reynolds SD 7
- NCES district ID
- 4110520
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,502
- Composite
- 27.4/100
- National rank
- #12399
- State rank
- #162 of 183 in OR
Livability — Fairview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #4103
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairview, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 12,007
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,007
- Household income
- $69,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.88%
- Current HPI
- 286.4915
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-6.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $70,000 RMLS
- 2023-06-05 Sold (MLS) $70,378 RMLS
- 2023-04-26 Pending — RMLS
- 2023-04-12 Contingent — RMLS
- 2023-03-03 Listed $75,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2016): $389 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…