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86 Patsy Ln Duplex
C- Composite 54.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

86 Patsy Ln · Depew, NY 14043
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,320 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1969 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

A terrific opportunity to own this super clean Duplex! Updated 3/3 side by side duplex located on a quiet dead-end street so close to shopping and within the Lancaster school district. These units boast spacious eat-in kitchens, 1st floor half baths and separate basements. Both sides had new furnaces installed in 2015. A complete tear-off roof was completed in 2014, and the windows were replaced in 2011. On the ride side’s the bathroom and kitchen have been updated in 2018. The left side has been freshly painted and in great condition! The laundry is in the basement for both sides, sump pump (2014). Separate driveways and fenced in yards with no rear neighbors! Come and check thi

Key facts

  • Replaced windows
  • Separate basements
  • Fenced in yards

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENSSEPARATE BASEMENTSNEW FURNACESCOMPLETE TEAR-OFF ROOFREPLACED WINDOWSFENCED IN YARDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Two total rental units (both month-to-month indicated for at least one unit); Sample rent listed for one unit: $950
  • Financial info: Operating expenses include trash; Tenant pays all utilities; Operating expense amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electrical service
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family (2-unit) dwelling; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale condition
  • Construction: Brick, frame, and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Built (existing structure)
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens; One unit includes dishwasher and microwave
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom and 1 half bathroom (total per unit: 2 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $201/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lancaster Central School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #234 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lancaster High School (math 97% / reading 92%, grade A+, #117 of 1,100 statewide, top 11%, 1,652 students, 24% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 94% at this address vs 59% district-wide (+36 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lancaster Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,939/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 854% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $103k; list at $350k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $350,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.91%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-19,724
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$65,320
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14043

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,939 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$729 /mo · $8,752/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$827
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,431
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $599 -5% $500 +0% $401 +5% $302 +10% $203
Rent -10% $90 -5% $246 +0% $401 +5% $557 +10% $712
Rate -1.0pp $577 -0.5pp $490 base $401 +0.5pp $311 +1.0pp $218

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,939

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $350,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $350,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 693-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $350,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,752 · $729/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,752 · $729/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,268
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$8,752
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,781
− Management
−$3,781
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$140
After-tax cash flow
$4,955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lancaster Central School District
NCES district ID
3616680
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$64,668
Composite
51.64/100
National rank
#1700
State rank
#234 of 590 in NY

Livability — Depew

Score
71/100
State rank
#408
US rank
#7016

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Depew, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
25,098
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
25,098
Household income
$74,112
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
854.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.13%
Current HPI
292.1082
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $350,000 WNYREIS
  • 1994-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,752 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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