544 Thornwood Dr · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained and move-in ready, this gorgeous split-level home in sought-after Thornwood Estates offers a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The main level features a large L-shaped living room, formal dining room, and a beautiful kitchen with a dining nook overlooking the lower-level family room with a cozy fireplace. Additional living space includes a versatile den and a convenient laundry room. The upper level offers generously sized bedrooms and a well-maintained full bathroom. Exterior features include an attached garage, oversized backyard, and an additional storage shed, providing ample space for outdoor enjoyment and storage needs. Conveniently locate
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Beautiful kitchen
- Split-level home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Thornwood Estates; Located in South Holland (Thornton Township); Directions: Cottage Grove to 170th St, west to Thornwood Dr, south to home
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (owned) with 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Storm sewer; Electric and gas available (natural gas heating)
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level / tri-level design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Less than 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area/table space and pantry closet; Range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Master bedroom (second level); Bedroom 2 (second level) with blinds; Bedroom 3 (second level) with blinds
- Flooring: Carpet in main living areas and bedrooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen and laundry; Other flooring in lower-level utility room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement includes a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; One fireplace in family room with gas starter
- Interior features: Finished, partial crawl space basement with walk-out access; L-shaped dining room; 8 total rooms; Window screens
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer and dryer; Utility room in lower level (approx. 8 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $778 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $210k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.89%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,256
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16827 Parkside Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,613 (+4%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 16850 School St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+4%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $127 | 69 |
| 16535 S Elm Ct | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,540 (-0%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 17032 University Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-3%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $161 | 59 |
| 17164 Louis Ave | 0.50mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,438 (-7%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $132 | 59 |
| 17331 Wausau Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (+6%) | 3mo | $259,900 | $159 | 56 |
| 16712 Elm St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (-6%) | 2mo | $191,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 947 E 169th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,744 (+13%) | 4mo | $196,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 16549 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,426 (-8%) | 2mo | $219,500 | $154 | 48 |
| 17024 Kimbark Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $105 | 48 |
| 16721 School St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-13%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $76 | 46 |
| 1222 E 170th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (+13%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $166 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $15,782
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $78,464
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,170 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$538 /mo · $6,452/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$666
- Net cashflow
- $778
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$209,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,452 · $538/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,452 · $538/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,040
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$6,452
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,043
- − Management
- −$3,043
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable income
- $6,588
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,581
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+74.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $209,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-12 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-19 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-17 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-12 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2023): $6,452 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…