3201 Freemont Ter S · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New paint, carpet and newer fridge, newer windows. Large corner lot with alley access. Partially fenced area of yard. Good location close to everything inclduding Tropicana Field and St Petersburg pier. Great rental or investment property. Can close fast.
Key facts
- Parks shopping
- Bonus room
- South st petersburg
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property classified as residential single family; Unfurnished
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.13-acre lot
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $190k implies a 956% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,382
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3230 4th Ave S | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 838 (+0%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $346 | 82 |
| 3237 4th Ave S | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-2%) | 8mo | $291,000 | $357 | 81 |
| 3336 Carlisle Ave S | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+11%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $259 | 66 |
| 2528 4th Ave S | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (-3%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $432 | 64 |
| 2921 3rd Ave S | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 761 (-9%) | 12mo | $550,000 | $723 | 59 |
| 3235 6th Ave S | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 954 (+14%) | 12mo | $282,000 | $296 | 58 |
| 525 38th St S | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 895 (+7%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $285 | 55 |
| 2443 2nd Ave S | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (-4%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $389 | 49 |
| 2584 14th Ave S | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (+10%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $312 | 47 |
| 3929 10th Ave S | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 770 (-8%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $305 | 46 |
| 1300 37th St S | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 758 (-9%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $323 | 42 |
| 3127 Oakley Ave S | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+14%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $258 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-16,737
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-11,635
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33712
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,009 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,383/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 31st St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3145 4th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $2,020 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3421 4th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,805 | $1.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3460 4th Ave S Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $1,800 | $3.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3460 4th Ave S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $1,550 | $2.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 201 35th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,680 | $1.98 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3550 2nd Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,800 | $3.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3100 Central Ave Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,660 | $3.02 | 1d | 10 | 0.40mi |
| 2900 1st Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,295 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2810 2nd Ave S Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,795 | $2.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1147 32nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1227 Fargo St S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,600 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 560 26th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $2,407 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2606 1st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,600 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3801 1st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,975 | $2.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3089 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3091 15th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1361 29th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $2,400 | $2.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3535 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,650 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3653 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3936 9th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,895 | $2.72 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,895 | $2.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3201 3rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 932 | $3,040 | $3.26 | 3d | 39 | 0.70mi |
| 3435 3rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,795 | $2.32 | 1d | 4 | 0.71mi |
| 250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,813 | $2.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,798 | $2.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3823 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3022 Dartmouth Ave N Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3022 Dartmouth Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3022 Dartmouth Ave N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $5,000 | $7.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2547 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,800 | $3.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3844 Burlington Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,895 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3938 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2919 Dartmouth Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,950 | $2.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3750 4th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $2,100 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1665 37th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,850 | $2.13 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 505 43rd St S Unit 5051/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1642 39th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,995 | $2.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1901 31st St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,950 | $2.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-05-17status Pending
-
2026-05-08$190,000 Active
-
2011-03-25soldstatus $18,000 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
New paint, carpet and newer fridge, newer windows. Large corner lot with alley access. Partially fenced area of yard. Good location close to everything inclduding Tropicana Field and St Petersburg pier. Great rental or investment property. Can close fast.
-
2011-03-04$19,999 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
New paint, carpet and newer fridge, newer windows. Large corner lot with alley access. Partially fenced area of yard. Good location close to everything inclduding Tropicana Field and St Petersburg pier. Great rental or investment property. Can close fast.
-
2011-01-13soldstatus $9,500 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed. Days 8-12: Offers ONLY from NSP buyers, municipalities, non-profit organizations and owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers. Fixer upper.
-
2010-12-06$12,900 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed. Days 8-12: Offers ONLY from NSP buyers, municipalities, non-profit organizations and owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers. Fixer upper.
-
2004-11-29$79,900
-
2004-09-27soldstatus $45,000
-
2004-08-05historical
-
2004-07-30$54,900
-
1996-11-04soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,383 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,383 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,383
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,929
- − Management
- −$1,929
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,142
- Household income
- $60,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1928.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.45%
- Current HPI
- 412.7251
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.77%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+258.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $18,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-04 Listed $19,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-13 Sold (MLS) $9,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-06 Listed $12,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-29 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-27 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-05 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-30 Listed $54,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,383 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…