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424 Savage Ave
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

424 Savage Ave · Raton, NM 87740
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 868 sqft · Other · 11 Days on market
Built 1900 7,800 sqft lot $75/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with strong upside and excellent location, this handyman property offers a rare opportunity to add value and build equity. The main level features two bedrooms and one full bath, along with a spacious living area and functional kitchen layout ready for your vision and improvements. A full unfinished basement provides exceptional expansion potential, with the possibility to add two additional rooms and another bathroom, significantly increasing livable space and long-term value. The property sits on a large lot and includes a standout oversized detached two-car garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, workshop use, or future enhancement. Conveniently located within

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • 7,800 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTOVERSIZED DETACHED GARAGELARGE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced lot; Irregular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#23 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Raton Public Schools (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #71 of 95 in NM (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Colfax County population projected at -39% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.61%
Cash-on-cash
22.56%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,066
List price
$65,000
Delta
-63.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$11,250
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$37,814
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87740

Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $485/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $517
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $379 -5% $361 +0% $342 +5% $324 +10% $305
Rent -10% $267 -5% $305 +0% $342 +5% $380 +10% $417
Rate -1.0pp $375 -0.5pp $359 base $342 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
704 Nevada Ave Apt 7 Raton, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 45d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 1068-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $65,000 Active 1068-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$485 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$520 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$35/yr (+$3/mo · 7.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥88°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$485
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$776
After-tax cash flow
$3,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Raton Public Schools
NCES district ID
3502190
Math proficiency
14%
Reading proficiency
24%
Median HH income
$33,774
Composite
18.8/100
National rank
#13993
State rank
#71 of 95 in NM

Livability — Raton

Score
69/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#8557

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Raton, NM
Population (ZIP)
7,055

Population outlook (Colfax County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,260 people
By 2030
9,240 · -9.9%
By 2040
7,474 · -27.2%
By 2050
6,285 · -38.7%
By 2075
5,109 · -50.2%
By 2100
4,684 · -54.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (52%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% White 44% Two or more races 21% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Colfax

2024 margin
R (+14.0) · D 41.9% · R 55.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -14.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.0 2020: R+11.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.47%
Current HPI
133.0875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $65,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $485 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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