424 Savage Ave · Raton, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special with strong upside and excellent location, this handyman property offers a rare opportunity to add value and build equity. The main level features two bedrooms and one full bath, along with a spacious living area and functional kitchen layout ready for your vision and improvements. A full unfinished basement provides exceptional expansion potential, with the possibility to add two additional rooms and another bathroom, significantly increasing livable space and long-term value. The property sits on a large lot and includes a standout oversized detached two-car garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, workshop use, or future enhancement. Conveniently located within
Key facts
- Large lot
- 7,800 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Fenced lot; Irregular-shaped lot
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#23 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Raton Public Schools (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #71 of 95 in NM (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colfax County population projected at -39% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.56%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,066
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -63.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $11,250
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $37,814
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87740
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $485/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $379 | -5% $361 | +0% $342 | +5% $324 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $267 | -5% $305 | +0% $342 | +5% $380 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $375 | -0.5pp $359 | base $342 | +0.5pp $325 | +1.0pp $308 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Nevada Ave Apt 7 Raton, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1068-char remark
-
2026-05-04$65,000 Active 1068-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $485 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $520 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥88°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$485
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$912
- − Management
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$776
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raton Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502190
- Math proficiency
- 14% —
- Reading proficiency
- 24% —
- Median HH income
- $33,774
- Composite
- 18.8/100
- National rank
- #13993
- State rank
- #71 of 95 in NM
Livability — Raton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #8557
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Raton, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,055
Population outlook (Colfax County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,260 people
- By 2030
- 9,240 · -9.9%
- By 2040
- 7,474 · -27.2%
- By 2050
- 6,285 · -38.7%
- By 2075
- 5,109 · -50.2%
- By 2100
- 4,684 · -54.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 44% Two or more races 21% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Colfax
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.0) · D 41.9% · R 55.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -14.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.0 2020: R+11.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.47%
- Current HPI
- 133.0875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — NMMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $65,000 NMMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $485 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…