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429 Falls Pointe
D- Composite 38.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

429 Falls Pointe · Huntsville, AL 35756
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Townhouse public records · 78 Days on market
Built 2021 $182/sqft · 19% below area Est $283k · 15% under $159/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy low-maintenance living with all the amenities River Landing offers including a pool, courts, clubhouse, and more. Rare opportunity to find a townhome with a garage and private backyard. The main living area flows into the kitchen for easy everyday living. All three bedrooms have their own full bathroom and spacious walk in closet. This home is ready for you to move in with ease complete with Washer, Dryer, and Refrigerator! Come see all that 429 Falls Pointe offers today! All facts to be verified by purchaser.

Key facts

  • Main living area
  • Private backyard
  • Full bathroom

Tags

LOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGPOOLPRIVATE BACKYARDMAIN LIVING AREAFULL BATHROOMWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 823 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,934 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,480
List price
$239,900
Delta
-15.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
401 Falls Pointe 0.06mi 3/3.0 1,329 (+1%) 6mo $170,500 $128 87
340 Falling Water Ln 0.03mi 3/3.0 1,286 (-3%) 5mo $228,000 $177 86
406 Falls Pointe SW 0.06mi 3/3.0 1,329 (+1%) 10mo $233,000 $175 84
412 Falls Pointe 0.05mi 3/3.0 1,311 (-1%) 13mo $235,000 $179 82
404 Falls Pointe SW 0.06mi 3/3.0 1,300 (-2%) 12mo $240,000 $185 80
117 SW Woodsbrook Pl 0.22mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,325 (+0%) 6mo $212,000 $160 78
414 Edgebrook Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+14%) 1mo $240,000 $159 74
231 Falling Water Ln SW 0.15mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,228 (-7%) 2mo $170,000 $138 72
141 Woodsbrook Pl SW 0.16mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,349 (+2%) 12mo $238,000 $176 72
415 Edgebrook Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,471 (+11%) 8mo $233,000 $158 72
402 Promenade Dr SW 0.13mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,228 (-7%) 10mo $217,000 $177 67
232 Falling Water Ln 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,472 (+12%) 9mo $225,000 $153 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.2%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-62,322
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-36.7%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-93,171
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35756

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
823
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$256 /mo · $3,071/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$159
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$-317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,244
Max offer price $183,934
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
344 Falling Water Ln SW Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1290 $1,545 $1.20 14d 1 0.01mi
324 Falling Water Ln SW Madison, AL 2.0 2.5 1304 $1,550 $1.19 44d 1 0.05mi
418 Falls Pt SW Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1329 $1,595 $1.20 14d 1 0.05mi
411 Promenade Dr SW Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1537 $1,750 $1.14 21d 1 0.08mi
500 Promenade Dr SW Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1569 $1,959 $1.25 14d 5 0.09mi
607 Durbin Ln SW Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1812 $2,500 $1.38 14d 1 0.34mi
711 River Landing Blvd SW Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,800 $1.06 44d 1 0.41mi
128 Mary Caudle Way Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1863 $1,950 $1.05 23d 1 0.50mi
808 Willow Shoals Dr SW Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,700 $1.18 23d 1 0.59mi
153 Rosemary Ayers Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,295 $1.26 14d 1 0.59mi
30 E Revere Blvd Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1163 $1,659 $1.43 14d 13 0.61mi
186 Tybee Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1595 $1,899 $1.19 14d 1 0.69mi
133 Pitts Griffin Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,900 $1.39 14d 1 0.70mi
138 Riverfront Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1648 $1,800 $1.09 14d 1 0.71mi
122 David Barnes Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,535 $1.16 14d 1 0.74mi
265 Harold Murphy Dr Madison, AL 4.0 3.0 1635 $2,500 $1.53 44d 1 0.83mi
122 Daymark Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1484 $1,795 $1.21 44d 1 0.83mi
202 Harold Murphy Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,250 $1.30 44d 1 0.86mi
177 Harold Murphy Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1738 $1,900 $1.09 44d 1 0.87mi
244 Abercorn Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $1,875 $1.03 44d 1 0.89mi
214 Alonzo Toney Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,150 $1.18 14d 1 0.99mi
200 Bay Pine Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1710 $1,899 $1.11 14d 12 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$159 · $1,908/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,900 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,900 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,900 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    price $239,900 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Enjoy low-maintenance living with all the amenities River Landing offers including a pool, courts, clubhouse, and more. Rare opportunity to find a townhome with a garage and private backyard. The main living area flows into the kitchen for easy everyday living. All three bedrooms have their own full bathroom and spacious walk in closet. This home is ready for you to move in with ease complete with Washer, Dryer, and Refrigerator! Come see all that 429 Falls Pointe offers today! All facts to be verified by purchaser.

  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $245,000 Active 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Enjoy low-maintenance living with all the amenities River Landing offers including a pool, courts, clubhouse, and more. Rare opportunity to find a townhome with a garage and private backyard. The main living area flows into the kitchen for easy everyday living. All three bedrooms have their own full bathroom and spacious walk in closet. This home is ready for you to move in with ease complete with Washer, Dryer, and Refrigerator! Come see all that 429 Falls Pointe offers today! All facts to be verified by purchaser.

  17. 2025-02-07
    historical $1,650
  18. 2024-11-22
    listed $1,650

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,071 · $256/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,071 · $256/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,118
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,071
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− HOA
−$1,908
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$8,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,924
After-tax cash flow
$-1,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Limestone County · 80,439 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,947
Household income
$129,852
Rent vs Own
17.4% rent · 82.6% own
Severe rent burden
286.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.15%
Current HPI
180.5285
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14439.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $239,900 VMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $245,000 VMLS
  • 2025-02-07 Rental Removed $1,650 VMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Listed for Rent $1,650 VMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,071 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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