803 Woodland St · Dublin, GA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home-just under 1,000 sq ft-is a smart buy near Stubbs Park and the new trail system. With brand-new flooring and fresh paint, much of the work has already been done for you. At $87,900, the price point makes this property a strong fit for investors, empty-nest buyers, or first-time homeowners looking for value and convenience. A solid opportunity in a growing pocket of Dublin. * * A package HVAC is being added to the propertyas well
Key facts
- Brand-new flooring
- New trail system
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single family residence; Lot size approximately 0.26 acres
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single family residence; House structure
- Construction: Built in 1947; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: City lot; Park nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: One-level home; Living area listed at 952 (public records); Crawl space foundation; Resale condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.2% in Dublin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#322 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Dublin City (town): math 10% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #165 of 174 in GA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest Elementary (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #988 of 1,228 statewide, top 81%, 533 students, 100% FRL); Dublin Middle School (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #408 of 470 statewide, top 87%, 618 students, 100% FRL); Dublin High School (math 2% / reading 10%, grade F, #390 of 424 statewide, top 93%, 544 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 78% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 55 units permitted in Laurens County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Laurens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $88k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.00%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,461
- List price
- $87,900
- Delta
- 93.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Hillcrest Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (+9%) | 5mo | $38,000 | $37 | 48 |
| 119 Hillcrest Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+8%) | 16mo | $31,000 | $30 | 37 |
| 1210 Academy Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (-14%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $37 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-9,474
- Equity at exit
- $13,106
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-5,988
- Equity at exit
- $7,600
Cash invested: $24,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31021
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $128 | +0% $98 | +5% $67 | +10% $37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $20 | -5% $59 | +0% $98 | +5% $136 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $142 | -0.5pp $120 | base $98 | +0.5pp $75 | +1.0pp $52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,975
- Closing costs
- $2,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Outler St Unit B Dublin, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $600 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 810 Euclid St Apt 1 Dublin, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 201 Woodlawn Dr Dublin, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 45d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 608 Hillcrest Pkwy Dublin, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,325 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 211 N Washington St Apt B-5 Dublin, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 410 Kingsby St Unit A Dublin, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $595 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 703 Hudson St Dublin, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $87,900 Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $87,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$87,900 New 466-char remark
-
2026-02-25soldstatus $47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,924
- − Property taxes
- −$1,318
- − Insurance
- −$1,237
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$937
- − Management
- −$937
- − Depreciation
- −$2,557
- Taxable loss
- −$193
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dublin City
- NCES district ID
- 1301870
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,841
- Composite
- 10.16/100
- National rank
- #9796
- State rank
- #165 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dublin
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #17202
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dublin, GA
- County
- Laurens County · 28,190 people
- City population
- 28,190
- Metro
- Dublin, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,190
- Household income
- $55,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (Laurens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,685 people
- By 2030
- 44,056 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 40,270 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 36,094 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 26,275 · -42.5%
- By 2100
- 17,160 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (51%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 45% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Laurens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.5% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -32.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+28.2 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.86%
- Current HPI
- 186.3422
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Metro
- Dublin, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+85.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $87,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $98 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…