1063 Hearn St · Blytheville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$26,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors! Want to add 2 doors to your rental portfolio? Looking for a house and got skills?! Finish and live in yourself and rent out the back for a house hack! This quaint 2 BD/ 1 BA fun fixer cottage throwback to yesteryear has so many built-in standout features it needs to be seen to be believed. A gorgeous bay window that floods the space with natural light, an incredible sunroom/den with floor to ceiling windows. a large master bedroom and versatile loft, and even a space under the stairs for you know who! Abundant built in storage, drawers and shelves throughout. But wait that's not all! Also included in the back is a studio 1 BA ADU with fireplace just waiting
Key facts
- Built in storage
- Sunroom den
- Bay window
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One-and-a-half story; Fixer condition
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Wooded lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No built-in appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 49.9% vs local median 6.7% in Blytheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
- Blytheville School District (town): math 8% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #233 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $186 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $807 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 49.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 155.57%
- DSCR
- 7.92
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,439
- List price
- $26,900
- Delta
- -53.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 W Chickasawba St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,645 (+3%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $17 | 89 |
| 135 Marianne | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,610 (+1%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $174 | 66 |
| 909 Holly St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,470 (-8%) | 13mo | $131,000 | $89 | 65 |
| 1105 Dixie St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (-2%) | 13mo | $126,000 | $81 | 61 |
| 1134 Holly St | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $43 | 61 |
| 1101 W Pecan St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,513 (-5%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 725 Parkway | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,456 (-9%) | 18mo | $25,000 | $17 | 48 |
| 700 W Hardin St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,486 (-7%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $27 | 47 |
| 1519 Chickasawba St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,802 (+13%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $17 | 46 |
| 1112 W Adams | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (-5%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $99 | 32 |
| 908 W Adams | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,719 (+8%) | 21mo | $140,000 | $81 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.68×
- Total profit
- $57,870
- Equity at exit
- $4,011
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.34×
- Total profit
- $130,623
- Equity at exit
- $2,326
Cash invested: $7,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72315
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$141
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $992 | -5% $984 | +0% $976 | +5% $969 | +10% $961 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $858 | -5% $917 | +0% $976 | +5% $1,036 | +10% $1,095 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $990 | -0.5pp $983 | base $976 | +0.5pp $970 | +1.0pp $962 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,725
- Closing costs
- $807
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 Melody Ln Blytheville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $26,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $26,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $26,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $26,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $26,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $26,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $26,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $26,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $29,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$29,500 Active 1139-char remark
-
1989-07-03soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,507
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$134
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$783
- Taxable income
- $12,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,885
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blytheville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503320
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,356
- Composite
- 8.02/100
- National rank
- #9922
- State rank
- #233 of 238 in AR
Livability — Blytheville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #14094
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blytheville, AR
- City population
- 20,100
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,100
Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,959 people
- By 2030
- 36,401 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 31,526 · -19.1%
- By 2050
- 27,058 · -30.5%
- By 2075
- 17,847 · -54.2%
- By 2100
- 11,024 · -71.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.4% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+22.2 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.32%
- Current HPI
- 175.5603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+22.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $26,900 EARA
- 2026-04-23 Listed $29,500 EARA
- 1989-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $675 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…