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1063 Hearn St
D Composite 41.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$26,900

1063 Hearn St · Blytheville, AR 72315
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,597 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1934 7,405 sqft lot $17/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors! Want to add 2 doors to your rental portfolio? Looking for a house and got skills?! Finish and live in yourself and rent out the back for a house hack! This quaint 2 BD/ 1 BA fun fixer cottage throwback to yesteryear has so many built-in standout features it needs to be seen to be believed. A gorgeous bay window that floods the space with natural light, an incredible sunroom/den with floor to ceiling windows. a large master bedroom and versatile loft, and even a space under the stairs for you know who! Abundant built in storage, drawers and shelves throughout. But wait that's not all! Also included in the back is a studio 1 BA ADU with fireplace just waiting

Key facts

  • Built in storage
  • Sunroom den
  • Bay window

Tags

BAY WINDOWSUNROOM DENBUILT IN STORAGESTUDIO ADUQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-and-a-half story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: No built-in appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 49.9% vs local median 6.7% in Blytheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
  • Blytheville School District (town): math 8% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #233 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $186 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $807 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $22k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,093 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.58%
Cap rate
49.85%
Cash-on-cash
155.57%
DSCR
7.92
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,439
List price
$26,900
Delta
-53.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1124 W Chickasawba St 0.10mi 2/1.0 1,645 (+3%) 2mo $28,000 $17 89
135 Marianne 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (+1%) 2mo $280,000 $174 66
909 Holly St 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,470 (-8%) 13mo $131,000 $89 65
1105 Dixie St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,564 (-2%) 13mo $126,000 $81 61
1134 Holly St 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,400 (-12%) 10mo $60,000 $43 61
1101 W Pecan St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,513 (-5%) 5mo $170,000 $112 50
725 Parkway 0.43mi 2/1.5 1,456 (-9%) 18mo $25,000 $17 48
700 W Hardin St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,486 (-7%) 8mo $40,000 $27 47
1519 Chickasawba St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,802 (+13%) 11mo $30,000 $17 46
1112 W Adams 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (-5%) 22mo $150,000 $99 32
908 W Adams 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,719 (+8%) 21mo $140,000 $81 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.68×
Total profit
$57,870
Equity at exit
$4,011
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.34×
Total profit
$130,623
Equity at exit
$2,326

Cash invested: $7,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72315

Home prices YoY
-32.5%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$141
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$976

Break-even live

Break-even rent $264
Max offer price $26,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $992 -5% $984 +0% $976 +5% $969 +10% $961
Rent -10% $858 -5% $917 +0% $976 +5% $1,036 +10% $1,095
Rate -1.0pp $990 -0.5pp $983 base $976 +0.5pp $970 +1.0pp $962

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,725
Closing costs
$807
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
812 Melody Ln Blytheville, AR 3.0 2.0 1585 $1,500 $0.95 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $26,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $26,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $26,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $26,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $26,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $26,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $26,900 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $26,900 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,500 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,500 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,500 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,500 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,500 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,500 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,500 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $29,500 Active 1139-char remark
  19. 1989-07-03
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$675 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$675 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$1,507
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$134
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$783
Taxable income
$12,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,885
After-tax cash flow
$8,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blytheville School District
NCES district ID
0503320
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,356
Composite
8.02/100
National rank
#9922
State rank
#233 of 238 in AR

Livability — Blytheville

Score
64/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#14094

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blytheville, AR
City population
20,100
Population (ZIP)
20,100

Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,959 people
By 2030
36,401 · -6.6%
By 2040
31,526 · -19.1%
By 2050
27,058 · -30.5%
By 2075
17,847 · -54.2%
By 2100
11,024 · -71.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.4% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+22.2 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.32%
Current HPI
175.5603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $26,900 EARA
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $29,500 EARA
  • 1989-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $675 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…