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635 Marilyn Dr
C- Composite 53.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

635 Marilyn Dr · Baton Rouge, LA 70815
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,828 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1955 0.38 ac lot $109/sqft · 11% below area Est $226k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great for investors--well established neighborhood--needs TLC--notice the nice floors-cielings-this house can make someone a really nice home..Seller says this one must go Quickly!!! Priced to Sell!!!

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 65 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.58%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,266
List price
$200,000
Delta
-11.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
575 Lonita St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,768 (-3%) 10mo $189,000 $107 76
9823 S Riveroaks Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,679 (-8%) 6mo $199,900 $119 74
625 Elizabeth Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,630 (-11%) 9mo $240,000 $147 72
10255 S Riveroaks Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,607 (-12%) 3mo $199,999 $124 68
935 Marilyn Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,007 (+10%) 4mo $289,000 $144 64
9434 W Van Pl 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,908 (+4%) 7mo $239,000 $125 64
9435 Goodwood Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,713 (-6%) 4mo $235,000 $137 60
10431 Goodwood Blvd 0.39mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+9%) 8mo $248,000 $124 59
9155 S Parkview Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,685 (-8%) 6mo $210,000 $125 50
845 E Riveroaks Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,670 (-9%) 9mo $239,900 $144 48
9325 Woodbine St 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,031 (+11%) 10mo $255,000 $126 48
9141 Woodbine St 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,075 (+14%) 4mo $239,000 $115 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-18,808
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,122
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70815

Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,341/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,680
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $327 -5% $270 +0% $214 +5% $157 +10% $100
Rent -10% $60 -5% $137 +0% $214 +5% $291 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $314 -0.5pp $264 base $214 +0.5pp $162 +1.0pp $109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9922 N Parkview Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1847 $2,500 $1.35 44d 1 0.18mi
814 Lonita St Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1678 $1,900 $1.13 24d 1 0.25mi
9152 Woodbine St Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 2322 $2,200 $0.95 44d 1 0.66mi
9540 Lindale Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.5 1655 $1,900 $1.15 24d 1 0.75mi
344 Burgess Pl Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,675 $1.29 24d 1 1.10mi
9855 Red Stick Crossing Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.5 1454 $2,100 $1.44 44d 1 1.11mi
2001 Red Stick Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 3.0 1559 $2,150 $1.38 24d 1 1.12mi
10127 Runnymede Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 2071 $1,900 $0.92 19d 1 1.12mi
10127 Runnymede Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.5 2071 $1,900 $0.92 44d 1 1.12mi
375 Sherwood Forest Blvd Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1697 $1,900 $1.12 21d 1 1.21mi
375 Sherwood Forest Blvd Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1697 $1,900 $1.12 14d 1 1.21mi
2166 Silverest Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1640 $1,800 $1.10 24d 1 1.25mi
2257 Silverest Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,700 $0.94 24d 1 1.30mi
2222 Seracedar Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,700 $1.10 44d 1 1.33mi
2424 Drusilla Ln Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1039 $1,318 $1.27 14d 13 1.45mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 221-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $200,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $205,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-04-14
    listed $205,000 Active 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Great for investors--well established neighborhood--needs TLC--notice the nice floors-cielings-this house can make someone a really nice home. .Seller says this one must go Quickly!!! Priced to Sell!!!

  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $205,000 Active 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Great for investors--well established neighborhood--needs TLC--notice the nice floors-cielings-this house can make someone a really nice home. .Seller says this one must go Quickly!!! Priced to Sell!!!

  19. 2025-07-29
    price $199,500
  20. 2025-07-29
    price $199,500
  21. 2025-07-03
    price $200,000
  22. 2025-07-03
    price $200,000
  23. 2025-06-23
    price $234,000
  24. 2025-06-23
    price $234,000
  25. 2025-06-03
    price $239,000
  26. 2025-06-03
    price $239,000
  27. 2025-05-16
    price $244,500
  28. 2025-05-16
    price $244,500
  29. 2025-04-17
    price $245,000
  30. 2025-04-17
    price $245,000
  31. 2025-04-07
    price $247,500
  32. 2025-04-07
    price $247,500
  33. 2025-03-12
    listed $250,000 Active
  34. 2025-03-12
    listed $250,000 Active
  35. 2018-08-27
    soldstatus $165,000
  36. 2018-08-21
    soldstatus Sold
  37. 2018-07-20
    status Pending
  38. 2018-07-16
    listed $165,000 Active
  39. 2018-07-16
    listed $165,000
  40. 2008-03-03
    soldstatus $154,000
  41. 2008-02-28
    soldstatus
  42. 2007-12-11
    listed $159,900
  43. 2007-12-11
    listed $159,900
  44. 1978-03-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,341 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,341 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,405
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,341
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$168
After-tax cash flow
$2,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Baton Rouge

Score
74/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#4535

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baton Rouge, LA
County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
City population
351,868
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
31,024
Household income
$59,254
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1461.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Estonian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.28%
Current HPI
181.3654
Rent YoY
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.2% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $205,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $205,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $199,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $199,500 GBRMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $200,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $234,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $234,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $239,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $239,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $244,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $244,500 GBRMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $245,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $247,500 GBRMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $247,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $250,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2018-08-21 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2018-07-20 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2018-07-16 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-07-16 Listed $165,000 GBRMLS
  • 2008-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
  • 2008-02-28 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2007-12-11 Listed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-12-11 Listed $159,900 GBRMLS
  • 1978-03-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,341 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…