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351 N Worthington Dr
B Composite 73.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

351 N Worthington Dr · West Memphis, AR 72301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1949 10,018 sqft lot Est $95k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity !!!! This property is being sold AS IS. .. . This property provides strong potential for investors looking to renovate for a rental or for resell. This home sits in an established neighborhood with convenient access to schools, shopping and major highways. With good bones and plenty of upside potential, this property is ready for your vision

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1949

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Worthington Park subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Brick construction; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; No patio or porch listed

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors; Central heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $805 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 6.9% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bragg Elementary School (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #383 of 454 statewide, top 86%, 534 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.73%
Cap rate
23.85%
Cash-on-cash
62.72%
DSCR
3.79
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,200
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
321 S Worthington Dr 0.17mi 2/1.0 900 (+12%) 7mo $135,000 $150 66
301 N Center St 0.26mi 2/1.0 816 (+2%) 24mo $40,000 $49 65
342 S Worthington Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (+5%) 20mo $100,000 $119 64
212 N Worthington Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+14%) 3mo $85,000 $93 54
211 N Center St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+14%) 9mo $112,000 $123 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.7%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$42,375
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
7.69×
Total profit
$103,003
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$805

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $843 -5% $824 +0% $805 +5% $786 +10% $767
Rent -10% $686 -5% $746 +0% $805 +5% $864 +10% $923
Rate -1.0pp $833 -0.5pp $819 base $805 +0.5pp $791 +1.0pp $776

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 3d 1 0.21mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $55,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    listed $55,000 Active
  5. 2023-02-16
    soldstatus $87,500
  6. 2012-06-01
    soldstatus $64,000
  7. 2011-10-25
    soldstatus $42,000
  8. 1994-04-28
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$9,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,241
After-tax cash flow
$7,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 EARA
  • 2023-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
  • 2012-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1994-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-20.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $27 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…