5491 Double Eagle Cir #3737 · Ave Maria, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$189,975
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. THIS CONDO IS READY FOR YOU NOW!! This single-level condominium features an open kitchen, dining room and living room, with lanai access for outdoor living. Near the foyer is the luxe owner’s suite and a comfortable spare bedroom perfect for younger residents or guests. Welcome to paradise—where you’ll find championship golf, top-tier resort amenities and endless opportunities to play, relax and connect. Set in stunning Ave Maria, this gated community is thoughtfully designed for your next best chapter. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative pu
Key facts
- Gated community
- Living room
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($731/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 453 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,685/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1093% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.80%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,473
- Equity at exit
- $45,418
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $12,401
- Equity at exit
- $47,319
Cash invested: $53,193 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34142
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 453
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$595
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $192 | -5% $127 | +0% $61 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-151 | -5% $-45 | +0% $61 | +5% $167 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $109 | base $61 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,494
- Closing costs
- $5,699
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5491 Double Eagle Cir #3728 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,195 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5479 Double Eagle Cir #3626 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5527 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3815 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,795 | $5.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5527 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3838 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,295 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5454 Double Eagle Cir #3325 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,495 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5555 Double Eagle Cir #3914 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,795 | $5.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5555 Double Eagle Cir #3913 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,100 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5555 Double Eagle Cir #3936 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,100 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5555 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3916 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $5,950 | $5.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5555 Double Eagle Cir #3918 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,995 | $4.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5466 Double Eagle Cir #3425 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $5,995 | $4.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2822 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $5,795 | $4.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2825 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $6,295 | $4.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5445 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,995 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2815 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,700 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5478 Double Eagle Cir #3515 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5445 Double Eagle Cir #3013 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,595 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5583 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $2,495 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5583 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4118 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $4,700 | $3.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5583 Double Eagle Cir #4137 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $5,795 | $5.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5583 Double Eagle Cir #4135 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,195 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5583 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4143 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,795 | $5.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5433 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $3,295 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5433 Double Eagle Cir #2915 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,295 | $4.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2812 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,995 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5629 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,495 | $4.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5651 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,495 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5651 Double Eagle Cir #4323 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $5,795 | $5.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5651 Double Eagle Cir #4318 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5651 Double Eagle Cir Unit 1545996P Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,581 | $2.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5428 Double Eagle Cir #2517 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,695 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5715 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4416 1 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5715 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4432AVE Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $2,495 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5835 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4742 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $5,795 | $5.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5807 Double Eagle Cir #4631 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,695 | $4.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5715 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,295 | $2.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5410 Double Eagle Cir #2222 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5749 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,995 | $2.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5807 Double Eagle Cir #4635 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,195 | $4.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $595 · $7,140/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-17$189,975 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,642
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$2,774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,577
- − Management
- −$2,577
- − HOA
- −$7,140
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$1,871
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$449
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in-ready condo in Ave Maria is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. Enhancements to landscaping and interior paint would further boost its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Interior paint touch-up — Maintains a fresh and inviting appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Interior paint touch-up — Maintains a fresh and inviting appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ave Maria
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ave Maria, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,149
- Household income
- $62,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1093.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.05%
- Current HPI
- 226.9105
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $189,975 NAPLESMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…