773 Freeze Mountain Dr · Argo, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2022 Home on 0.50 Acres – Move-In Ready! Welcome home to this like-new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home built in 2022. Situated on a spacious half-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to relax and entertain outdoors while enjoying privacy and room to roam. Inside, you’ll love the open-concept living area where the living room flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen — perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. The home features durable vinyl flooring throughout, making it low-maintenance and family-friendly. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and a bright, functional layout . Conveniently located just minutes from I-59, Springville, Moody, Annisto
Key facts
- Ample cabinet space
- 0.50 acres
- 0.5 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home (Residential); Built in 2022; One-story living area of 1,216
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Half-acre lot; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#198 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- St Clair County (rural): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #33 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Odenville Elementary School (436 students, 67% FRL); Odenville Middle School (math 7% / reading 51%, grade F, #134 of 257 statewide, top 53%, 570 students, 67% FRL); Springville High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #47 of 305 statewide, top 17%, 766 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 292 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $135k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.61%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,840
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Seminole Trl | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $117 | 73 |
| 250 Smith Ridge Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $51 | 56 |
| 225 Cedar Creek Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $115 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,607
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $12,008
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35120
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $459 | -5% $412 | +0% $365 | +5% $319 | +10% $272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $301 | +0% $365 | +5% $430 | +10% $495 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $400 | base $365 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-17$134,900 Active 20 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,024
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,577
- − Management
- −$1,577
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $2,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$571
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St Clair County
- NCES district ID
- 0103062
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,324
- Composite
- 31.79/100
- National rank
- #5887
- State rank
- #33 of 129 in AL
Livability — Argo
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #15812
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Argo, AL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 54,404 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,730
- Household income
- $74,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 109.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.39%
- Current HPI
- 175.5104
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.49%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+349.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $134,900 VMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $139,900 VMLS
- 2026-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $188 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…