Triplex
56 Woolsey St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$380,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Multi-family with ample parking and potential for a four car garage as the foundation is already set. A newer roof that is one year old. Three units that are in fair condition and producing $50,400 annually, completely rented on a month to month basis. Whether you are looking for a steady cash flow or your own slice of ownership in New Haven. Do not waste any time folks this one is bigger on the inside.
Key facts
- Completely rented
- Ample parking
- Newer roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $607/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $380k).
- Recommended offer: $369k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.5% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,794/mo this rent would consume 143% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 2664% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $380k implies a 2614% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.54%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Saltonstall Ave | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 | 1,920 (0%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $169 | 84 |
| 206 Saltonstall Ave | 0.24mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,980 (+3%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $184 | 73 |
| 72 Woolsey St | 0.06mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,066 (+8%) | 7mo | $360,000 | $174 | 70 |
| 14 Market St | 0.24mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,054 (+7%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 73 Main St | 0.43mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-6%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 229 Exchange St | 0.12mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+8%) | 13mo | $329,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 439 Lombard St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (+4%) | 4mo | $440,000 | $220 | 58 |
| 85 Pierpont St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-11%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $100 | 54 |
| 366 Quinnipiac Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,914 (-0%) | 12mo | $330,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 16 Mill River St | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-9%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $209 | 46 |
| 464 Blatchley Ave | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,156 (+12%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $169 | 43 |
| 197 Farren Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-4%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $173 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $61,200
- Equity at exit
- $56,659
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $231,064
- Equity at exit
- $32,855
Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06513
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 16.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,794 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,993
- Tax from tax record
- −$605 /mo · $7,257/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,217
- Net cashflow
- $1,821
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,037 | -5% $1,929 | +0% $1,821 | +5% $1,714 | +10% $1,606 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,364 | -5% $1,593 | +0% $1,821 | +5% $2,050 | +10% $2,279 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,013 | -0.5pp $1,918 | base $1,821 | +0.5pp $1,723 | +1.0pp $1,623 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,793 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,931 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,931 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,931 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,794 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $95,000
- Closing costs
- $11,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Exchange St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 18 Woolsey St New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,900 | $2.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 18 Woolsey St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 295 Lloyd St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2621 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 115 Lloyd St #2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 139 Poplar St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1673 | $3,100 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 426 Poplar St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 441 Chapel St Unit 2A1 (shared) New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2151 | $3,600 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 28 Edwards St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,850 | $2.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 54 Mechanic St Unit 2nd floor New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $3,600 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 31 Clark St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $4,200 | $2.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 315 Humphrey St Unit A New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2465 | $4,500 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 59 Clark St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1541 | $3,250 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 399 Orange St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $3,200 | $1.94 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 395 Orange St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 54 Trumbull St Unit 54-1 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $6,695 | $2.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 67 Trumbull St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 12d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 87 Union St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 959 | $5,543 | $5.78 | 4d | 16 | 1.16mi |
| 250 Willow St #3 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $3,600 | $2.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 251 Edwards St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1522 | $3,900 | $2.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 339 Willow St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2163 | $4,050 | $1.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 420 Whitney Ave New Haven, CT | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1800 | $4,700 | $2.61 | 12d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 420 Whitney Ave Unit 424-3B New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $4,700 | $2.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2025-12-15status Under Contract
-
2025-11-06price $380,000
-
2025-11-04$350,000 Active
-
2024-03-17historical
-
2023-12-07price $380,000
-
2023-11-09$385,000 Active
-
2006-12-08historical
-
2006-06-09$289,900
-
1998-08-07soldstatus $14,000
-
1995-11-28soldstatus $15,000
-
1995-11-06soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,257 · $605/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,694 · $641/mo
- Expected delta
- +$438/yr (+$36/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,286
- − Property taxes
- −$7,257
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,562
- − Management
- −$5,562
- − Depreciation
- −$11,055
- Taxable income
- $16,906
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,057
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,800/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,888
- Household income
- $48,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2664.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 26% Black 22% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 39% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.87%
- Current HPI
- 364.006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+2940.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-15 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $380,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $350,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-03-17 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2023-12-07 Price Changed $380,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-11-09 Listed $385,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-12-08 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2006-06-09 Listed $289,900 Smart MLS
- 1998-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1995-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1995-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2023): $7,257 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…