8833 Manor St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Detached garage
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 459 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 459 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.54%
- DSCR
- 2.54
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,501
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 9.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10327 Kramer St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,273 (+0%) | 1mo | $133,770 | $105 | 86 |
| 9145 Pinehurst St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (-2%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $53 | 81 |
| 9206 Pinehurst St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,308 (+3%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $34 | 79 |
| 8130 Ward St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,278 (+1%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $123 | 74 |
| 8999 Griggs St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-6%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 9119 Littlefield St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (+2%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $46 | 73 |
| 8590 Littlefield St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,218 (-4%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $82 | 71 |
| 9180 Hartwell St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,174 (-8%) | 5mo | $62,000 | $53 | 58 |
| 10405 Orangelawn St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (+6%) | 3mo | $7,000 | $5 | 54 |
| 5801 Oakman Blvd | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,451 (+14%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $110 | 53 |
| 8029 Hartwell St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,389 (+10%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $119 | 48 |
| 10300 Orangelawn St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-14%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $48 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $68,792
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.69×
- Total profit
- $176,393
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $561 | -5% $542 | +0% $524 | +5% $505 | +10% $487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $475 | +0% $524 | +5% $573 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $540 | base $524 | +0.5pp $507 | +1.0pp $490 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1589 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9355 Ward St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,327 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $985 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1737 | $1,550 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8047 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 453 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 441 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-03-27status Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2026-03-27historical 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2025-06-19status Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2025-06-19historical 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2025-03-18$65,000 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2025-03-18$65,000 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.
-
2019-04-10soldstatus $52,500
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2017-11-28historical
-
2017-11-13status Pending
-
2017-11-13status Pending
-
2017-11-13historical
-
2017-10-02$29,900 Active
-
2017-10-02$29,900 Active
-
2007-12-30historical
-
2007-08-28$8,900
-
2007-08-18historical
-
2007-05-18$14,900
-
2005-02-22soldstatus $105,000
-
2004-09-17soldstatus $42,000
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2004-08-18$49,900
-
2004-07-20historical
-
2004-04-20$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,110 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,110 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,196
- − Management
- −$1,196
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,342
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+18.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-18 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-18 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2017-11-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-11-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-11-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-02 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-02 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-08-28 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-05-18 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-17 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-08-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-07-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-04-20 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,110 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…