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8833 Manor St
B Composite 73.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$65,000

8833 Manor St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 459 Days on market
Built 1928 4,356 sqft lot $51/sqft · 9% above area Est $60k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Detached garage
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGELIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 459 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 459 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
15.96%
Cash-on-cash
34.54%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,501
List price
$65,000
Delta
9.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10327 Kramer St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,273 (+0%) 1mo $133,770 $105 86
9145 Pinehurst St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-2%) 5mo $66,000 $53 81
9206 Pinehurst St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,308 (+3%) 3mo $45,000 $34 79
8130 Ward St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,278 (+1%) 1mo $157,000 $123 74
8999 Griggs St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-6%) 0mo $190,000 $159 73
9119 Littlefield St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,298 (+2%) 2mo $60,000 $46 73
8590 Littlefield St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,218 (-4%) 1mo $100,000 $82 71
9180 Hartwell St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,174 (-8%) 5mo $62,000 $53 58
10405 Orangelawn St 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,350 (+6%) 3mo $7,000 $5 54
5801 Oakman Blvd 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,451 (+14%) 5mo $160,000 $110 53
8029 Hartwell St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,389 (+10%) 2mo $165,000 $119 48
10300 Orangelawn St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-14%) 4mo $52,000 $48 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
4.78×
Total profit
$68,792
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
10.69×
Total profit
$176,393
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $583
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $561 -5% $542 +0% $524 +5% $505 +10% $487
Rent -10% $425 -5% $475 +0% $524 +5% $573 +10% $622
Rate -1.0pp $557 -0.5pp $540 base $524 +0.5pp $507 +1.0pp $490

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 45d 1 0.26mi
8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 0.27mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 45d 1 0.50mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 45d 1 0.55mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 45d 1 0.59mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 45d 1 0.60mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 45d 1 0.62mi
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 0d 1 0.74mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 45d 1 0.78mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 45d 1 0.78mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 18d 1 0.79mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 0.80mi
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 21d 1 0.81mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 45d 1 0.97mi
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 45d 1 1.01mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 45d 1 1.15mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 45d 1 1.19mi
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 45d 1 1.22mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 45d 1 1.24mi
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
8047 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 45d 1 1.35mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 16d 1 1.36mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 1.37mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 45d 1 1.42mi
8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,350 $1.01 23d 1 1.45mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 18d 1 1.46mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 1.46mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 25d 1 1.46mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.46mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 459 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 456 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 455 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 453 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 451 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 450 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 447 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 446 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 445 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 442 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 441 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 439 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 438 DOM
  14. 2026-03-27
    status Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  15. 2026-03-27
    historical 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  16. 2025-06-19
    status Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  17. 2025-06-19
    historical 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  18. 2025-03-18
    listed $65,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  19. 2025-03-18
    listed $65,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Spacious 3 BR dwelling with full basement and detached garage. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Nice location near the Aviation Sub.

  20. 2019-04-10
    soldstatus $52,500
  21. 2017-11-28
    historical
  22. 2017-11-13
    status Pending
  23. 2017-11-13
    status Pending
  24. 2017-11-13
    historical
  25. 2017-10-02
    listed $29,900 Active
  26. 2017-10-02
    listed $29,900 Active
  27. 2007-12-30
    historical
  28. 2007-08-28
    listed $8,900
  29. 2007-08-18
    historical
  30. 2007-05-18
    listed $14,900
  31. 2005-02-22
    soldstatus $105,000
  32. 2004-09-17
    soldstatus $42,000
  33. 2004-08-18
    listed $49,900
  34. 2004-07-20
    historical
  35. 2004-04-20
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,110 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,110 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,952
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,196
− Management
−$1,196
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,592
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,342
After-tax cash flow
$4,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.2% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-19 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
  • 2017-11-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-02 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-02 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-28 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-18 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-17 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-07-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-20 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,110 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…