414 Moten Aly · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location, Location, Location. Come see this 3 bed 1 bath home today, potential abounds. The lot next door(within the fence) is also for sale. buy them both and build your next home, or investment properties. It is zoned for multifamily.
Key facts
- 3,833 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 1315 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance resources available
- HOA & community: Subdivision: I35 SO. TO E. HOUSTON (SA)
Exterior
- Utilities: City water and sewer
- Home design: Pre-owned home; Approximately 82 years old
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Siding exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen about 6 x 10
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom about 13 x 13; Second bedroom about 10 x 10; Third bedroom about 10 x 10
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating fuel (see remarks)
- Interior features: City garbage service; Some window coverings remain; 1 living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1316 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 1316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.57%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,534
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -61.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1413 Burnet | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,005 (+2%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $249 | 71 |
| 1607 Hays | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-10%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $163 | 67 |
| 1206 Nolan | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (-0%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $147 | 63 |
| 342 Canton | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (0%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 1015 Rogers | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+15%) | 3mo | $76,019 | $67 | 61 |
| 815 Burnet St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $300 | 59 |
| 1531 Burnet | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 913 (-8%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $235 | 59 |
| 418 Muncey | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $176 | 58 |
| 1717 Rogers | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+9%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $153 | 53 |
| 132 Sharer | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,098 (+11%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $109 | 51 |
| 2118 Burnet | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,088 (+10%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 204 Gorman | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+6%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $232 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $73,078
- Equity at exit
- $67,566
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.14×
- Total profit
- $212,906
- Equity at exit
- $145,709
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78202
- Home prices YoY
- 27.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,682/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $437 | -5% $416 | +0% $395 | +5% $374 | +10% $352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $291 | -5% $343 | +0% $395 | +5% $447 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $414 | base $395 | +0.5pp $376 | +1.0pp $356 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1323 Lamar St #1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1411 Lamar St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,125 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 323 Gabriel Unit 1 201 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1615 Nolan St Unit A San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1619 Nolan St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1810 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,045 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1223 N Walters St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,039 | $1.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1908 Nolan St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,049 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 103 Saint John San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,245 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 438 Gulf St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $975 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 103 Saint Charles Unit NA San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 146 Eross San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $850 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2118 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,195 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,195 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1116 Muncey St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1116 Muncey St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 925 E Carson St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,910 | $1.87 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 923 E Carson St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $2,459 | $2.86 | 0d | 36 | 0.63mi |
| 155 Canton San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1414 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1510 Gorman San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2654 Dignowity Ave Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1219 Muncey San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,350 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1121 Willow St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 819 Larry San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,149 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 639 Canton San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 620 Potomac San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1123 N Olive St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2239 Burnet St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 746 Gulf San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $975 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 928 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $990 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 932 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $945 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 706 Canton San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,545 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 934 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 936 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $895 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 1316 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 1313 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 1312 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 1311 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 1310 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 1308 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 1304 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 1303 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 1302 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 1299 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 1298 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 1297 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 1296 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 1295 DOM
-
2025-10-30status Back on Market
-
2025-09-27historical Active Option
-
2025-06-03price $75,000
-
2025-06-02status Back on Market
-
2025-05-31historical
-
2024-10-31status Back on Market
-
2024-10-22historical Active Option
-
2024-07-26status Back on Market
-
2024-07-12historical Active Option
-
2024-06-05price $90,000
-
2023-12-18status Back on Market
-
2023-11-16historical Active Option
-
2023-04-24price $105,000
-
2023-04-24status Back on Market
-
2023-02-19status Pending
-
2023-02-12historical Active Option
-
2022-09-08$110,000 New
-
2003-06-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,682 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,682 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,682
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,868
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$928
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,224
- Household income
- $47,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 41%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.82%
- Current HPI
- 253.3196
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.20%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-31.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-09-27 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $75,000 LERA
- 2025-06-02 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-10-31 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-10-22 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-07-26 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-07-12 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-06-05 Price Changed $90,000 LERA
- 2023-12-18 Relisted — LERA
- 2023-11-16 Contingent — LERA
- 2023-04-24 Price Changed $105,000 LERA
- 2023-04-24 Relisted — LERA
- 2023-02-19 Pending — LERA
- 2023-02-12 Contingent — LERA
- 2022-09-08 Listed $110,000 LERA
- 2003-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,682 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…