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2183 Maluke Ln
B+ Composite 75.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

2183 Maluke Ln · Middleburg, FL 32068
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1983 3.09 ac lot Est $258k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NICE PEICE OF WOODED PROPERTY. HAS POLE AND SEPTIC READY FOR YOUR HOME TO BE BUILT. SAVE ON THE INPACT FEES!!! HORSES ARE ALLOWED IN THIS AREA.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Updated bathrooms
  • 3.09 acres

Tags

3.09 ACRESMETAL ROOFHURRICANE TIE-DOWNSWELL REPLACEDSEPTIC SYSTEM MAINTAINEDUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is for residential use
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Double wide mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Mobile home construction
  • Exterior features: Dirt road access; Lot approximately 3.09 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Water softener (owned)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.8% in Middleburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#657 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Clay (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 73 in FL (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,876 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $160k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.66%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$257,760
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 Melanie Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+9%) 5mo $315,000 $201 70
2001 Liberty Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 1mo $277,500 $193 68
497 Kay Rd 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+1%) 10mo $260,000 $179 61
2106 Candlewood Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,501 (+4%) 15mo $259,900 $173 49
1961 Gentlebreeze Rd 0.62mi 3/3.0 1,510 (+5%) 14mo $215,000 $142 47
1993 Gentle Breeze Rd 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+8%) 19mo $252,900 $162 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$9,561
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$55,796
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32068

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,918 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $746/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$547

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $638 -5% $593 +0% $547 +5% $502 +10% $457
Rent -10% $396 -5% $472 +0% $547 +5% $623 +10% $699
Rate -1.0pp $628 -0.5pp $588 base $547 +0.5pp $506 +1.0pp $464

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1751 Freedom Dr Middleburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,350 $1.11 5d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $160,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  16. 2026-04-18
    listed $175,000 Active
  17. 2007-10-08
    soldstatus $75,000
  18. 2007-09-28
    historical 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    NICE PEICE OF WOODED PROPERTY. HAS POLE AND SEPTIC READY FOR YOUR HOME TO BE BUILT. SAVE ON THE INPACT FEES!!! HORSES ARE ALLOWED IN THIS AREA.

  19. 2007-09-26
    soldstatus $75,000 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    NICE PEICE OF WOODED PROPERTY. HAS POLE AND SEPTIC READY FOR YOUR HOME TO BE BUILT. SAVE ON THE INPACT FEES!!! HORSES ARE ALLOWED IN THIS AREA.

  20. 2007-05-26
    listed $80,000 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    NICE PEICE OF WOODED PROPERTY. HAS POLE AND SEPTIC READY FOR YOUR HOME TO BE BUILT. SAVE ON THE INPACT FEES!!! HORSES ARE ALLOWED IN THIS AREA.

  21. 1980-07-01
    soldstatus $18,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$746 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,328 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$582/yr (+$48/mo · 78.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,018
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$746
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,841
− Management
−$1,841
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$4,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,001
After-tax cash flow
$5,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay
NCES district ID
1200300
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$59,379
Composite
50.73/100
National rank
#1815
State rank
#14 of 73 in FL

Livability — Middleburg

Score
65/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#13174

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clay County · 208,450 people
City population
58,983
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
58,983
Household income
$84,431
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
975.0

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,495 people
By 2030
242,427 · +5.2%
By 2040
262,244 · +13.8%
By 2050
275,148 · +19.4%
By 2075
295,397 · +28.2%
By 2100
287,592 · +24.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.6pp toward D · 2008: -42.8pp · 2024: -39.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.3 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+45.8 2008: R+42.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.99%
Current HPI
305.2531
Rent YoY
▲ 3.35%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+830.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $175,000 realMLS
  • 2007-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-28 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-09-26 Sold (MLS) $75,000 realMLS
  • 2007-05-26 Listed $80,000 realMLS
  • 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $746 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…