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713 Ver-lo Dr
D- Composite 37.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

713 Ver-lo Dr · Lorena, TX 76655
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,743 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2006 10,542 sqft lot Est $302k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for the perfect place to call home? This beautiful property in Lorena checks all the boxes. 4 bedrooms , 2 bathrooms. 1743 Square feet. Enjoy comfortable living with plenty of space for family, guests, or a home office. Nestled in a great location with that small-town feel, yet convenient to everything you need. Do not miss your chance to make this house your home.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2006

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: South Meadow Estates, Pt Fou; County: McLennan; Directions: 713 Ver-Lo Dr, Lorena, TX 76655
  • Financial info: No second mortgage; Loan type: Treat As Clear
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered garage spaces
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Curbs; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 2006
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Less than 0.5 acre lot (approx. 0.242 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 15 x 12)
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; One living area; One dining area; 1,743 living area
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $280k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.9% in Lorena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#325 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lorena ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #46 of 826 in TX (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lorena El (math 60% / reading 60%, grade B-, #398 of 4,322 statewide, top 9%, 415 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 16% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $279,871 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.47%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$301,539
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
814 Springdale Cir 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,817 (+4%) 0mo $360,000 $198 87
103 York Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,543 (-12%) 1mo $279,500 $181 63
128 Thompson Cir 0.31mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,819 (+4%) 9mo $315,000 $173 62
805 Evelyn Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,887 (+8%) 1mo $349,900 $185 56
207 Lee Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,726 (-1%) 21mo $174,900 $101 55
111 Thompson Cir 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,930 (+11%) 11mo $265,000 $137 54
607 Old Rosenthal Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,676 (-4%) 10mo $165,000 $98 53
401 Lee Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,748 (+0%) 12mo $315,000 $180 53
202 Thompson Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,985 (+14%) 14mo $310,000 $156 49
800 Evelyn Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,004 (+15%) 9mo $329,900 $165 45
111 York Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,497 (-14%) 23mo $300,000 $200 42
101 N Oak St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,604 (-8%) 22mo $179,900 $112 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-58,702
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-59,652
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76655

Home prices YoY
-31.3%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,799 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$510 /mo · $6,115/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$588
Net cashflow
$-110

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,937
Max offer price $300,556
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Joel Hooper Dr Lorena, TX 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,950 $1.55 13d 1 0.70mi
689 Birdie Ln Lorena, TX 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,250 $1.32 13d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-19
    listed $319,900 Active
  3. 2005-09-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,115 · $510/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,115 · $510/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,585
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$6,115
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,687
− Management
−$2,687
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$6,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,615
After-tax cash flow
$301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lorena ISD
NCES district ID
4828200
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$79,086
Composite
53.84/100
National rank
#1412
State rank
#46 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lorena

Score
71/100
State rank
#325
US rank
#7155

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorena, TX
County
McLennan County · 213,088 people
City population
10,603
Metro
Waco, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,603
Household income
$99,917
Rent vs Own
14.9% rent · 85.1% own
Severe rent burden
62.0

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.10%
Current HPI
230.4333
Rent YoY
Metro
Waco, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $319,900 NTREIS
  • 2005-09-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,115 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…