422 E 25th St · Okmulgee, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FORECLOSURE--- CHECK THIS PRICE!!!! THIS COULD BE THE FORECLOSURE YOU ARE LOOKING FOR!!! BUYER OR BUYER S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION: SCHOOLS, TAXES, RESTRICTIONS AND ROOM SIZES, ETC. SOLD AS IS .
Key facts
- Spacious family room
- 8,100 sq ft lot
- Built 1988
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Gutters noted as a community feature
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Fiber optic available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story house; Faces north; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick, Masonite, wood siding, and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Patio; Rain gutters; Chain link fencing; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Range / Oven; Dishwasher; Gas range connection; Breakfast nook
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood veneer
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub (hall bath) on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Storm door(s); Vinyl windows; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $95k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.80%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,000
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Moreland Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,312 (-1%) | 8mo | $141,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 508 Emerson Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,407 (+7%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $100 | 46 |
| 815 S Severs St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,384 (+5%) | 18mo | $37,000 | $27 | 40 |
| 620 E 15th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-8%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $70 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,582
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $16,338
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74447
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $628/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 E 6th St Unit 214 Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1104 W 8th St Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $850 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-02$95,000 Active
-
2012-07-17soldstatus $34,199 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
FORECLOSURE--- CHECK THIS PRICE!!!! THIS COULD BE THE FORECLOSURE YOU ARE LOOKING FOR!!! BUYER OR BUYER S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION: SCHOOLS, TAXES, RESTRICTIONS AND ROOM SIZES, ETC. SOLD AS IS .
-
2012-01-25historical 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
FORECLOSURE--- CHECK THIS PRICE!!!! THIS COULD BE THE FORECLOSURE YOU ARE LOOKING FOR!!! BUYER OR BUYER S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION: SCHOOLS, TAXES, RESTRICTIONS AND ROOM SIZES, ETC. SOLD AS IS .
-
2011-08-25$34,000 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
FORECLOSURE--- CHECK THIS PRICE!!!! THIS COULD BE THE FORECLOSURE YOU ARE LOOKING FOR!!! BUYER OR BUYER S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION: SCHOOLS, TAXES, RESTRICTIONS AND ROOM SIZES, ETC. SOLD AS IS .
-
2007-02-12soldstatus $73,700 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
very nice total remodeled home a must see. new carpet, tile, windows, doors and paint ready to move in. 3 bed 1 bath w/ den extra clean. will not last long. walking dist. to wal-mart.
-
2007-02-09soldstatus $74,000
-
2007-01-23historical 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
very nice total remodeled home a must see. new carpet, tile, windows, doors and paint ready to move in. 3 bed 1 bath w/ den extra clean. will not last long. walking dist. to wal-mart.
-
2006-11-20soldstatus $47,500
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
very nice total remodeled home a must see. new carpet, tile, windows, doors and paint ready to move in. 3 bed 1 bath w/ den extra clean. will not last long. walking dist. to wal-mart.
-
2006-11-20$73,700 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
very nice total remodeled home a must see. new carpet, tile, windows, doors and paint ready to move in. 3 bed 1 bath w/ den extra clean. will not last long. walking dist. to wal-mart.
-
2006-10-24soldstatus $47,000
-
2006-06-08$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $628 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$227/yr (+$19/mo · 36.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$628
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$981
- − Management
- −$981
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okmulgee
- NCES district ID
- 4022800
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,078
- Composite
- 3.66/100
- National rank
- #10069
- State rank
- #264 of 270 in OK
Livability — Okmulgee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #17773
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Okmulgee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,500
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.69%
- Current HPI
- 257.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+72.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $95,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-07-17 Sold (MLS) $34,199 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2012-01-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-08-25 Listed $34,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-02-12 Sold (MLS) $73,700 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-23 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-11-20 Listed $73,700 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-11-20 Sold (MLS) $47,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-08 Listed $55,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $628 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…