🏗️ New Construction
162 Ave L · Apalachicola, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.0/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity - five contiguous north side city lots zoned R-2 multi-family residential in neighborhood of new homes. Existing 1500 sq ft 1939 frame dwelling being sold “as is”, abuts city's Madison Square.
Key facts
- Zoned r-2
- Five contiguous lots
- 1.5 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 300 (about 1.5 acres); Zoning: R-2 (City, residential multi-family)
Exterior
- Parking: 4 total parking spaces; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential detached single-family home; New construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Wooded lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: See remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (15.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (33.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in FL, #1,611 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Franklin (rural): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #67 of 73 in FL (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$85k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.40% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.02%
- DSCR
- 0.47
- GRM
- 21.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $493,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 11th St | 0.18mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,464 (-4%) | 1mo | $487,000 | $333 | 71 |
| 229 Fred Meyer St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-4%) | 2mo | $480,000 | $329 | 69 |
| 162 23rd Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+0%) | 7mo | $263,000 | $172 | 67 |
| 202 17th St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (-8%) | 6mo | $479,000 | $343 | 66 |
| 110 17th St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (+2%) | 7mo | $490,000 | $316 | 65 |
| 147 17th St | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,548 (+2%) | 12mo | $365,000 | $236 | 65 |
| 121 Ellis Van Fleet St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-1%) | 12mo | $434,500 | $290 | 61 |
| 225 Ave D | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,499 (-2%) | 9mo | $575,000 | $384 | 50 |
| 16 Adams St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-9%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $236 | 48 |
| 76 Ave G | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 1,428 (-6%) | 13mo | $535,000 | $375 | 43 |
| 106 17th St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-15%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $324 | 43 |
| 294 The Prado St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+14%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $138 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $180,190
- Equity at exit
- $444,249
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $599,399
- Equity at exit
- $958,039
Cash invested: $138,076 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32320
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,586
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
- Insurance
- −$205
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $-1,384
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,104 | -5% $-1,244 | +0% $-1,384 | +5% $-1,523 | +10% $-1,663 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,538 | -5% $-1,461 | +0% $-1,384 | +5% $-1,306 | +10% $-1,229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,135 | -0.5pp $-1,258 | base $-1,384 | +0.5pp $-1,511 | +1.0pp $-1,641 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $123,282
- Closing costs
- $14,794
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 Earl King St Apalachicola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 174 Sawyer Ln Apalachicola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 272 Prado St Apalachicola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 272 The Prado Apalachicola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 123 Avenue C Apalachicola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $295,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 209-char remark
-
2026-06-13$295,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,448 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$783/yr (+$65/mo · 47.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,623
- − Property taxes
- −$1,666
- − Insurance
- −$2,466
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,880
- − Management
- −$1,880
- − Depreciation
- −$14,346
- Taxable loss
- −$26,364
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,327
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin
- NCES district ID
- 1200570
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,084
- Composite
- 29.7/100
- National rank
- #6454
- State rank
- #67 of 73 in FL
Livability — Apalachicola
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1611
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apalachicola, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,503
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,827 people
- By 2030
- 11,839 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 11,707 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 11,218 · -5.1%
- By 2075
- 9,849 · -16.7%
- By 2100
- 7,286 · -38.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.7% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.9pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+31.5 2008: R+27.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.69%
- Current HPI
- 358.7623
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $295,000 RAFGC
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,666 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…