5600 MT Solo Rd · Longview, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large wood shed
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#228 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, commute F.
- Longview School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #185 of 291 in WA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 348 units permitted in Cowlitz County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $529 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cowlitz County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $76k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.16%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,481
- List price
- $76,500
- Delta
- -48.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5600 Mt Solo Rd #18 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 18mo | $25,000 | $27 | 80 |
| 5600 Mt Solo Rd #124 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 938 (+2%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $32 | 80 |
| 5600 Mt Solo Rd #114 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 858 (-7%) | 6mo | $55,900 | $65 | 76 |
| 5600 Mt Solo Rd #41 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (+2%) | 21mo | $26,400 | $28 | 73 |
| 5600 MT Solo Rd #77 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $15 | 72 |
| 5600 Mt Solo Rd #4 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 910 (-2%) | 24mo | $17,500 | $19 | 71 |
| 22 Heritage Blvd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 924 (0%) | 14mo | $88,800 | $96 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $36,023
- Equity at exit
- $11,406
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.29×
- Total profit
- $91,905
- Equity at exit
- $6,614
Cash invested: $21,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98632
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$401
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$96 /mo · $1,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $770
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $823 | -5% $797 | +0% $770 | +5% $744 | +10% $718 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $641 | -5% $705 | +0% $770 | +5% $835 | +10% $900 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $809 | -0.5pp $790 | base $770 | +0.5pp $751 | +1.0pp $730 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,125
- Closing costs
- $2,295
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4714 Ocean Beach Hwy Longview, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,450 | $1.65 | 4d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 5607 Finch Dr Longview, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 0d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $76,500 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,500 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,500 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,500 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,500 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $76,500 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,500 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,500 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,500 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,500 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,500 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $76,500 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,500 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,500 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $76,500 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $76,500 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
-
2025-10-22price $81,500 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
-
2025-10-07status Active 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
-
2025-09-13status Pending 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
-
2025-08-25$82,000 Active 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home is a real Looker. Very Open Floor plan, and on a corner lot at entrance for easy access to home and parking. Nice large wood shed, Glamour Bath, lots of upgrades. Has oversized front porch with large awnings to boot. You will be amazed. Call to see inside. You will be amazed !!!
-
2025-05-30soldstatus $30,000 Closed 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Beautiful West Longview Home is next to a park & rom in the backyard for gardening Come enjoy this amazing well cared for 2 bed/1 bath home, In Dell Rey II. New Stove & Dishwasher, All New LPV flooring throughout. Home is partially furnished, If items are not wanted seller can remove.Open concept with spacious living room & kitchen. Large Primary bedroom with new vinyl windows. Less than 15 minutes to Willow grove park & boat ramp, shopping and everything.
-
2025-05-23status Pending 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Beautiful West Longview Home is next to a park & rom in the backyard for gardening Come enjoy this amazing well cared for 2 bed/1 bath home, In Dell Rey II. New Stove & Dishwasher, All New LPV flooring throughout. Home is partially furnished, If items are not wanted seller can remove.Open concept with spacious living room & kitchen. Large Primary bedroom with new vinyl windows. Less than 15 minutes to Willow grove park & boat ramp, shopping and everything.
-
2025-05-02price $40,000 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Beautiful West Longview Home is next to a park & rom in the backyard for gardening Come enjoy this amazing well cared for 2 bed/1 bath home, In Dell Rey II. New Stove & Dishwasher, All New LPV flooring throughout. Home is partially furnished, If items are not wanted seller can remove.Open concept with spacious living room & kitchen. Large Primary bedroom with new vinyl windows. Less than 15 minutes to Willow grove park & boat ramp, shopping and everything.
-
2025-04-16$45,000 Active 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Beautiful West Longview Home is next to a park & rom in the backyard for gardening Come enjoy this amazing well cared for 2 bed/1 bath home, In Dell Rey II. New Stove & Dishwasher, All New LPV flooring throughout. Home is partially furnished, If items are not wanted seller can remove.Open concept with spacious living room & kitchen. Large Primary bedroom with new vinyl windows. Less than 15 minutes to Willow grove park & boat ramp, shopping and everything.
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2025-03-10soldstatus $13,900 Closed
-
2025-01-31status Pending
-
2025-01-23price $15,000
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2025-01-20price $17,000
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2025-01-07price $19,999
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2024-09-14$23,000 Active
-
2023-01-29historical
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $51,000 Closed
-
2023-01-15status Pending
-
2022-12-21price $50,000
-
2022-11-23$55,000 Active
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2022-11-04soldstatus $52,000 Closed
-
2022-10-23status Pending
-
2022-10-14price $56,900
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2022-10-08price $59,900
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2022-10-06$67,000 Active
-
2008-07-16soldstatus $13,000
-
2008-07-11historical
-
2008-05-27$14,950
-
1997-09-01soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,285
- − Property taxes
- −$1,148
- − Insurance
- −$382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,579
- − Management
- −$1,579
- − Depreciation
- −$2,225
- Taxable income
- $8,536
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,049
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304470
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,324
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #7732
- State rank
- #185 of 291 in WA
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #6972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, WA
- County
- Cowlitz County · 77,527 people
- City population
- 50,635
- Metro
- Longview, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,635
- Household income
- $66,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2224.0
Population outlook (Cowlitz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,780 people
- By 2030
- 103,980 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 100,769 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 96,685 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 86,454 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 74,052 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cowlitz
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -479.09%
- Current HPI
- 230.8501
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Metro
- Longview, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+512.0% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $76,500 RMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $81,500 RMLS
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — RMLS
- 2025-09-13 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $82,000 RMLS
- 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RMLS
- 2025-05-23 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $40,000 RMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listed $45,000 RMLS
- 2025-03-10 Sold (MLS) $13,900 RMLS
- 2025-01-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-01-23 Price Changed $15,000 RMLS
- 2025-01-20 Price Changed $17,000 RMLS
- 2025-01-07 Price Changed $19,999 RMLS
- 2024-09-14 Listed $23,000 RMLS
- 2023-01-29 Delisted — RMLS
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $51,000 RMLS
- 2023-01-15 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-12-21 Price Changed $50,000 RMLS
- 2022-11-23 Listed $55,000 RMLS
- 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-14 Price Changed $56,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-08 Price Changed $59,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Listed $67,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-16 Sold (MLS) $13,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-11 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-27 Listed $14,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $69 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…