1471 Liberty St · Trenton, NJ
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Colonial in Hamilton with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement, new carpets, gorgeous hardwood flooring, wood plank front porch in excellent condition, huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and shelves, built-in wood china cabinet, large rooms, fenced yard all in nice location.
Key facts
- Large eat in kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Great size back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.3% in Trenton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Hamilton Township Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #338 of 472 in NJ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $215k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.49%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $295,488
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 Tindall Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,411 (+9%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $259 | 81 |
| 1040 Melrose Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $167 | 81 |
| 611 E Brown St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (+7%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $223 | 71 |
| 21 Berg Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,270 (-2%) | 3mo | $329,900 | $260 | 68 |
| 872 Revere Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 8mo | $293,000 | $244 | 66 |
| 877 Park Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+8%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $228 | 58 |
| 307 Commonwealth Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+14%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $186 | 55 |
| 1521 S Clinton Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,348 (+4%) | 6mo | $208,000 | $154 | 54 |
| 825 Lyndale Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,443 (+11%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $249 | 54 |
| 1919--1921 Clinton | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $178 | 53 |
| 156 Kent St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (+13%) | 0mo | $208,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 718 E Howell St | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 7mo | $380,000 | $332 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-14,089
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $14,517
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08629
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Columbus Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 234 Howell St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1656 | $3,600 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 973 S Olden Ave Unit 2ND FLOOR Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 705 Anderson St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 635 Chambers St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 176 Division St Apt 106 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,700 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1132 Genesee St Unit 1132 Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1049 Genesee St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1103 Division St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 720 Monmouth St Unit 204 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 239 Ardmore Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,750 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 428 Cleveland Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,785 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,895 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 233 Virginia Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 203 Genesee St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 417 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $2,050 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 234 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 105 Walnut Ave Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 313 Home Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 219 Woodlawn Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $2,355 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 71 Clark St Trenton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 13d | 4 | 1.03mi |
| 1165 E State St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,749 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 340 Connecticut Ave Unit 1 Hamilton Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 340 Connecticut Ave Unit 2 Hamilton Township, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,850 | $2.04 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 244 Jersey St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 210 Kuser Rd Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $2,700 | $1.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 700 Schiller Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1558 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 42 Grant St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 88 Sundance Dr Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $3,103 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8 Joan Ter Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $3,250 | $2.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 547 Centre St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 34 Southard St #2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 110 Nottinghill Ln Hamilton Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $2,345 | $2.88 | 13d | 11 | 1.35mi |
| 255 Hollywood Dr Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $2,950 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-13$215,000 Active
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $140,000
-
2005-12-02historical
-
2005-08-07$140,000
-
2002-09-30soldstatus $81,000
-
2002-09-19soldstatus $81,000 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Spacious Colonial in Hamilton with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement, new carpets, gorgeous hardwood flooring, wood plank front porch in excellent condition, huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and shelves, built-in wood china cabinet, large rooms, fenced yard all in nice location.
-
2002-07-11historical 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Spacious Colonial in Hamilton with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement, new carpets, gorgeous hardwood flooring, wood plank front porch in excellent condition, huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and shelves, built-in wood china cabinet, large rooms, fenced yard all in nice location.
-
2002-06-01$81,000 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Spacious Colonial in Hamilton with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement, new carpets, gorgeous hardwood flooring, wood plank front porch in excellent condition, huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and shelves, built-in wood china cabinet, large rooms, fenced yard all in nice location.
-
2002-05-30historical
-
2002-01-17$79,900
-
1995-07-31soldstatus $505,681
-
1987-02-27soldstatus $67,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,026 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,190 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,164/yr (+$97/mo · 38.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,026
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$120
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406540
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,425
- Composite
- 27.33/100
- National rank
- #6990
- State rank
- #338 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #3533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 177,819
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,015
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,395 people
- By 2030
- 384,640 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 391,431 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 397,845 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 417,281 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 420,327 · +10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Black 36% White 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 5% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 45% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -331.65%
- Current HPI
- 298.7405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+217.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-08-07 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-19 Sold (MLS) $81,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-07-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-06-01 Listed $81,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-05-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-01-17 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $505,681 Public Records
- 1987-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $67,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,026 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…