165 Lattintown Rd #75 · Marlboro, NY 12550

$179,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 190 Days on market

Built 1975 $921/mo HOA · 35% of rent ↓ 25% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.2/30.0
• 1% rule +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• DSCR +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

4/1 Accepted offer with contracts out for signature. Price Improvement! Welcome to this charming and fully updated 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom single-level home located in a desirable mobile home community in the Town of Newburgh. Perfectly blending comfort and convenience, this property offers a thoughtfully designed layout with hardwood floors throughout the main living areas and stylish tile in the dining room and kitchen. The kitchen boasts an abundance of cabinets and a generous pantry, providing plenty of storage for all your needs. The inviting living room features an electric fireplace with built-in shelves, creating a warm and welcoming focal point, while the dining room is equipped wi

Key facts

• 3 parking spots
• Built 1975
• Listed 190 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (13.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
• Recommended offer: $155k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Marlboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#347 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute D-.
• Marlboro Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #366 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Marlboro Elementary School (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,505 of 2,108 statewide, top 72%, 761 students, 0% FRL); Marlboro Middle School (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 433 students, 45% FRL); Marlboro Central High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 628 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 383 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $154,793 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.62%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.41%
• DSCR: 0.89
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -27.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.10×
• Total profit: $-45,081
• Equity at exit: $26,689

10-year hold

• IRR: -55.3%
• Equity multiple: -0.48×
• Total profit: $-74,088
• Equity at exit: $15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12550

• Home prices YoY: -33.3%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 383
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,604 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$921
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$547
• Net cashflow: $-167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,816

Max offer price $154,793

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,750
• Closing costs: $5,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $921 · $11,052/yr
• Likely covers: electric

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-26
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-18
   price $179,000
3. 2025-12-16
   price $199,000
4. 2025-10-31
   price $219,000
5. 2025-09-25
   listed $239,000 Active
6. 2025-09-21
   historical $239,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,249
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,027
• − Property taxes: −$2,685
• − Insurance: −$1,692
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,500
• − Management: −$2,500
• − HOA: −$11,052
• − Depreciation: −$5,207
• Taxable loss: −$4,415
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,060
• After-tax cash flow: $-948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marlboro Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3618570
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 8.00%
• Median HH income: $68,737
• Composite: 43.7/100
• National rank: #2953
• State rank: #366 of 590 in NY

Livability — Marlboro

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #347
• US rank: #5847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living D+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Orange County · 267,004 people
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• Population (ZIP): 55,152
• Household income: $85,697
• Rent vs Own: 44.2% rent · 55.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2412.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 379,830 people
• By 2030: 378,955 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 375,444 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 369,311 · -2.8%
• By 2075: 354,233 · -6.7%
• By 2100: 318,150 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -151.93%
• Current HPI: 304.1046
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.63%
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-25.1% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-31 Price Changed $219,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-25 Listed $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-21 Coming Soon $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid