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1558 Candleberry St
D- Composite 38.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

1558 Candleberry St · Bunnell, FL 32110
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,372 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2004 1.14 ac lot Est $351k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility

Key facts

  • 1.14 acre lot
  • Built 2004
  • Listed 57 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential (Manufactured Home); Lot size: approximately 1.14 acres (165 x 300); Zoning: MH-1; Homestead exempt; Unfurnished
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA or association; Development: Daytona North

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); East-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Dirt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Has fireplace (family room and living room)
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-362 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (22.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (40.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (40.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.5% in Bunnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#378 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bunnell Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 1,080 students, 73% FRL); Buddy Taylor Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 1,343 students, 63% FRL); Flagler-Palm Coast High School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,523 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $280k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,789 (40.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.54%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
14.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$351,056
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1820 Satinwood St 0.27mi 4/2.0 2,327 (-2%) 8mo $345,000 $148 78
5735 Buckeye Ln 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,295 (-3%) 6mo $400,000 $174 69
1056 Peach St 0.54mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,348 (-1%) 1mo $140,500 $60 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-68,551
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-89,939
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32110

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
14.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,658 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$-362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,116
Max offer price $215,943
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-204 -5% $-283 +0% $-362 +5% $-441 +10% $-520
Rent -10% $-493 -5% $-428 +0% $-362 +5% $-297 +10% $-231
Rate -1.0pp $-221 -0.5pp $-291 base $-362 +0.5pp $-435 +1.0pp $-508

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $279,900 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $279,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,900 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-25
    listed $279,900 Active
  17. 2011-10-07
    soldstatus $83,000
  18. 2008-01-14
    historical 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility

  19. 2007-09-19
    listed $125,000 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility

  20. 2007-01-04
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Need your space? Come and see this beautiful 2,372 sq.ft. home on over 1 acre, built in 2004 with two wood burning fireplaces! All the walls and ceilings are sheetrocked (that's a $10,000 extra). Lots of storage in spacious rooms. The kitchen features a center island , stainless appliances and a smooth top range.Let's not forget the large walk in shower,double sinks and whirlpool in the master be

  21. 2006-06-07
    listed $149,900 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Need your space? Come and see this beautiful 2,372 sq.ft. home on over 1 acre, built in 2004 with two wood burning fireplaces! All the walls and ceilings are sheetrocked (that's a $10,000 extra). Lots of storage in spacious rooms. The kitchen features a center island , stainless appliances and a smooth top range.Let's not forget the large walk in shower,double sinks and whirlpool in the master be

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,048 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$1,275/yr (+$106/mo · 121.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,895
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,592
− Management
−$1,592
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$9,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,294
After-tax cash flow
$-2,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagler
NCES district ID
1200540
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,354
Composite
46.35/100
National rank
#2464
State rank
#20 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bunnell

Score
71/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#6714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,877

Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,474 people
By 2030
131,864 · +6.8%
By 2040
146,176 · +18.4%
By 2050
157,398 · +27.5%
By 2075
177,990 · +44.2%
By 2100
183,381 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Flagler

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.28%
Current HPI
271.446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2008-01-14 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-09-19 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2007-01-04 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2006-06-07 Listed $149,900 realMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,048 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…