1558 Candleberry St · Bunnell, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility
Key facts
- 1.14 acre lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 57 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (Manufactured Home); Lot size: approximately 1.14 acres (165 x 300); Zoning: MH-1; Homestead exempt; Unfurnished
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA or association; Development: Daytona North
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); East-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Dirt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Has fireplace (family room and living room)
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-362 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (22.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (40.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (40.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.5% in Bunnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#378 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bunnell Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 1,080 students, 73% FRL); Buddy Taylor Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 1,343 students, 63% FRL); Flagler-Palm Coast High School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,523 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $280k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.54%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,056
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1820 Satinwood St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,327 (-2%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $148 | 78 |
| 5735 Buckeye Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,295 (-3%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $174 | 69 |
| 1056 Peach St | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,348 (-1%) | 1mo | $140,500 | $60 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-68,551
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-89,939
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32110
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $-362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-204 | -5% $-283 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-441 | +10% $-520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-493 | -5% $-428 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-297 | +10% $-231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-221 | -0.5pp $-291 | base $-362 | +0.5pp $-435 | +1.0pp $-508 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$279,900 Active
-
2011-10-07soldstatus $83,000
-
2008-01-14historical 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility
-
2007-09-19$125,000 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
A STEAL! 2372 living sq. foot on over an acre, built in 2004. Check out these upgrades: sheet-rocked walls, vaulted ceilings, crown molding, leaded glass entryway, stainless steel appliances, huge island kitchen, water filtration system, jacuzzi tub & separate shower in master bath, built-in china cabinet in dining room, tile counter-tops, wet bar in family room and a deck to enjoy the tranquility
-
2007-01-04historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Need your space? Come and see this beautiful 2,372 sq.ft. home on over 1 acre, built in 2004 with two wood burning fireplaces! All the walls and ceilings are sheetrocked (that's a $10,000 extra). Lots of storage in spacious rooms. The kitchen features a center island , stainless appliances and a smooth top range.Let's not forget the large walk in shower,double sinks and whirlpool in the master be
-
2006-06-07$149,900 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Need your space? Come and see this beautiful 2,372 sq.ft. home on over 1 acre, built in 2004 with two wood burning fireplaces! All the walls and ceilings are sheetrocked (that's a $10,000 extra). Lots of storage in spacious rooms. The kitchen features a center island , stainless appliances and a smooth top range.Let's not forget the large walk in shower,double sinks and whirlpool in the master be
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,323 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,275/yr (+$106/mo · 121.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,592
- − Management
- −$1,592
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$9,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagler
- NCES district ID
- 1200540
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 46.35/100
- National rank
- #2464
- State rank
- #20 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bunnell
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #378
- US rank
- #6714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,877
Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,474 people
- By 2030
- 131,864 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 146,176 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 157,398 · +27.5%
- By 2075
- 177,990 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 183,381 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Flagler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.28%
- Current HPI
- 271.446
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+86.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2008-01-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2007-09-19 Listed $125,000 realMLS
- 2007-01-04 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-06-07 Listed $149,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,048 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…