10557 Nc Highway 89 W · Pilot Mountain, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special, home has lots of potential but needs work. Roof was replaced in the last few years other than that the home will need a full renovation. Cash sale only.
Key facts
- Roof replaced
- 0.98 acre lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Public maintained road access; Approximately 0.98-acre lot; Total building area about 1,400
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1950; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Cellar; Shallow foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Well water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Living room on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating fuel; No central cooling
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.2% in Pilot Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#309 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Stokes County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #78 of 178 in NC (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 230 units permitted in Stokes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Stokes County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $85k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.13%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,224
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10557 Nc Highway 89 W | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $64 | 90 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $64,060
- Equity at exit
- $76,485
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.35×
- Total profit
- $174,624
- Equity at exit
- $164,942
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27053
- Home prices YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $914/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $304 | +0% $280 | +5% $256 | +10% $232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $238 | +0% $280 | +5% $322 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $301 | base $280 | +0.5pp $258 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $84,900 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 11 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-05-19$84,900 Active
-
2000-03-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$914
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,017
- − Management
- −$1,017
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$507
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stokes County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704380
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,284
- Composite
- 39.58/100
- National rank
- #3928
- State rank
- #78 of 178 in NC
Livability — Pilot Mountain
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #12831
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,187
Population outlook (Stokes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,106 people
- By 2030
- 42,264 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 37,833 · -14.2%
- By 2050
- 32,818 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 23,281 · -47.2%
- By 2100
- 15,676 · -64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Stokes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.8% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -59.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.6 2020: R+57.8 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.60%
- Current HPI
- 292.0449
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+112.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $84,900 Triad MLS
- 2000-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $914 · +63.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…