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10557 Nc Highway 89 W
B+ Composite 79.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,900

10557 Nc Highway 89 W · Pilot Mountain, NC 27053
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,441 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1950 0.98 ac lot Est $92k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special, home has lots of potential but needs work. Roof was replaced in the last few years other than that the home will need a full renovation. Cash sale only.

Key facts

  • Roof replaced
  • 0.98 acre lot
  • Built 1950

Tags

ROOF REPLACED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Public maintained road access; Approximately 0.98-acre lot; Total building area about 1,400
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1950; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Cellar; Shallow foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Well water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Living room on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating fuel; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.2% in Pilot Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#309 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Stokes County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #78 of 178 in NC (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 230 units permitted in Stokes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Stokes County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $85k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,626 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.25%
Cash-on-cash
14.13%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,224
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10557 Nc Highway 89 W 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (-3%) 0mo $90,000 $64 90

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$64,060
Equity at exit
$76,485
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
8.35×
Total profit
$174,624
Equity at exit
$164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27053

Home prices YoY
9.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $914/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $304 +0% $280 +5% $256 +10% $232
Rent -10% $196 -5% $238 +0% $280 +5% $322 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $323 -0.5pp $301 base $280 +0.5pp $258 +1.0pp $235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $84,900 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 13 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 12 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Due Diligence Period 11 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    historical Due Diligence Period
  7. 2026-05-19
    listed $84,900 Active
  8. 2000-03-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$914 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$914 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,709
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$914
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,017
− Management
−$1,017
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$507
After-tax cash flow
$2,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stokes County Schools
NCES district ID
3704380
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,284
Composite
39.58/100
National rank
#3928
State rank
#78 of 178 in NC

Livability — Pilot Mountain

Score
65/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#12831

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,187

Population outlook (Stokes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,106 people
By 2030
42,264 · -4.2%
By 2040
37,833 · -14.2%
By 2050
32,818 · -25.6%
By 2075
23,281 · -47.2%
By 2100
15,676 · -64.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Stokes

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.8% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -59.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.6 2020: R+57.8 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.60%
Current HPI
292.0449
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $84,900 Triad MLS
  • 2000-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $914 · +63.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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