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3412 Town Creek Cir
C- Composite 54.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

3412 Town Creek Cir · Greensboro, GA 30642
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Condo public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2006 $134/sqft · 9% above area Est $138k · 9% over $275/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs | Water Heater: 4 yrs

Key facts

  • Tree lined views
  • Proximity to i-20
  • New retail offerings

Tags

TOP FLOOR UNITTREE LINED VIEWSONE COMMON WALLPROXIMITY TO I-20NEW RETAIL OFFERINGSDOWNTOWN GREENSBORO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 1.0% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 505 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1.35M (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.64%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,083
List price
$149,900
Delta
8.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,926
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$20,983
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30642

Active inventory
505
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $778/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$275
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,504
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$275 · $3,300/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Under Contract 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs

  2. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Under Contract 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs

  3. 2026-04-13
    price $149,900 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs

  4. 2026-04-08
    listed $149,900 New 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs

  5. 2026-04-08
    listed $1,499,000 Active 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs

  6. 2023-05-19
    soldstatus $140,000
  7. 2023-05-17
    soldstatus $140,000 Sold
  8. 2023-05-17
    soldstatus $140,000
  9. 2023-04-18
    status Under Contract
  10. 2023-04-17
    listed $140,000
  11. 2023-04-03
    price $140,000
  12. 2023-03-12
    status Back On Market
  13. 2023-02-28
    status Under Contract
  14. 2023-02-09
    status Price Change
  15. 2023-02-09
    price $145,000
  16. 2023-02-06
    status Under Contract
  17. 2023-02-02
    listed $140,000 New
  18. 2019-10-28
    soldstatus $73,500
  19. 2019-10-17
    soldstatus $73,500
  20. 2019-10-17
    soldstatus $73,500
  21. 2019-10-07
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$778 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,379 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$602/yr (+$50/mo · 77.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,640
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$778
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,811
− Management
−$1,811
− HOA
−$3,300
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,433
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$344
After-tax cash flow
$3,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County
NCES district ID
1302490
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,172
Composite
27.08/100
National rank
#7046
State rank
#82 of 174 in GA

Livability — Greensboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#14726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, GA
Population (ZIP)
14,884

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,835 people
By 2030
18,182 · +1.9%
By 2040
18,509 · +3.8%
By 2050
18,794 · +5.4%
By 2075
19,704 · +10.5%
By 2100
20,584 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.3% · R 64.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.13%
Current HPI
186.3442
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent FMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $149,900 FMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $1,499,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-17 Sold (MLS) $140,000 LCBR
  • 2023-05-17 Sold (MLS) $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-04-18 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-04-17 Listed $140,000 LCBR
  • 2023-04-03 Price Changed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-03-12 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-02-28 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-02-09 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-02-09 Price Changed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-02-06 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-02-02 Listed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
  • 2019-10-17 Sold (MLS) $73,500 LCBR
  • 2019-10-17 Sold (MLS) $73,500 GAMLS
  • 2019-10-07 Listed $79,900 LCBR

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $778 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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