3412 Town Creek Cir · Greensboro, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs | Water Heater: 4 yrs
Key facts
- Tree lined views
- Proximity to i-20
- New retail offerings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 1.0% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 505 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1.35M (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.64%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,083
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 8.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,926
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $20,983
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30642
- Active inventory
- 505
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs
-
2026-04-13price $149,900 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs
-
2026-04-08$149,900 New 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs
-
2026-04-08$1,499,000 Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Welcome to Greensboro and welcome to Town Creek - where affordability, comfort and quality meet. Living at Town Creek offers convenience: proximity to I-20 and new retail offerings just south of the interstate as well as downtown Greensboro just to the north. This 2 bed/2 bath top floor unit itself offers tranquility - no footsteps above you, only one common wall and tree-lined views from your balcony and bedrooms. Whether you're a local working professional or someone seeking a retirement spot or even part-time resident who enjoys occasional stays near all that the Lake Oconee region has to offer, this unit gives you quality-grade construction, appliance and amenities to ensure that your days, weeks, weekends, months and/or years here don't cheat you on comfort. HVAC: 7 yrs Water Heater: 4 yrs
-
2023-05-19soldstatus $140,000
-
2023-05-17soldstatus $140,000 Sold
-
2023-05-17soldstatus $140,000
-
2023-04-18status Under Contract
-
2023-04-17$140,000
-
2023-04-03price $140,000
-
2023-03-12status Back On Market
-
2023-02-28status Under Contract
-
2023-02-09status Price Change
-
2023-02-09price $145,000
-
2023-02-06status Under Contract
-
2023-02-02$140,000 New
-
2019-10-28soldstatus $73,500
-
2019-10-17soldstatus $73,500
-
2019-10-17soldstatus $73,500
-
2019-10-07$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,379 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$602/yr (+$50/mo · 77.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,811
- − Management
- −$1,811
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $1,433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$344
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greene County
- NCES district ID
- 1302490
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,172
- Composite
- 27.08/100
- National rank
- #7046
- State rank
- #82 of 174 in GA
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #14726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,884
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,835 people
- By 2030
- 18,182 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 18,509 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 18,794 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 19,704 · +10.5%
- By 2100
- 20,584 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.3% · R 64.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.13%
- Current HPI
- 186.3442
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+87.6% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $149,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $1,499,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
- 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-17 Sold (MLS) $140,000 LCBR
- 2023-05-17 Sold (MLS) $140,000 GAMLS
- 2023-04-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-04-17 Listed $140,000 LCBR
- 2023-04-03 Price Changed $140,000 GAMLS
- 2023-03-12 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-02-28 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-02-09 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-02-09 Price Changed $145,000 GAMLS
- 2023-02-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-02-02 Listed $140,000 GAMLS
- 2019-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
- 2019-10-17 Sold (MLS) $73,500 LCBR
- 2019-10-17 Sold (MLS) $73,500 GAMLS
- 2019-10-07 Listed $79,900 LCBR
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $778 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…