16 Meadowlark Dr · East Avon, NY 14414

$70,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market

Built 1993

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

1993 Manufactured home located in Twin Cedars of Avon; 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, separate living room and family room, dining area, full kitchen with lots of cupboards and cabinet space; shed out back with plenty of room for storage; partially covered Amish built deck at the entry of the home with storage underneath; laminate hardwood flooring installed in the past few years; new forced air furnace installed within the past 5 years and a new hot water; all appliances included with the home.

Key facts

• Updated water heater
• Updated furnace
• Built 1993

Tags

• KITCHEN IN THE CENTER
• UPDATED FURNACE
• UPDATED WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Land lease payment: $777
• HOA & community: Has land lease

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Double wide mobile home (Skyline Lexington); Single-story; Existing/resale property
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Leased propane tank; Rectangular lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in refrigerator; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; See remarks / other interior details
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $71k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $880 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $71k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,004 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Avon Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #349 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $491 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $29k; list at $71k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $69,934 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.11%
• DSCR: 3.36
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $399,500
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6354 E Avon Lima Rd	0.69mi	3/1.5	1,490 (-12%)	7mo	$350,000	$235	39
2169 Bronson Hill Rd	0.61mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,456 (-14%)	18mo	$182,000	$125	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 51.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.24×
• Total profit: $44,556
• Equity at exit: $10,586

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.59×
• Total profit: $111,059
• Equity at exit: $6,139

Cash invested: $19,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14414

• Home prices YoY: -14.1%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,735 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$372
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
• Insurance: −$30
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$364
• Net cashflow: $880

Break-even live

Break-even rent $621

Max offer price $70,999

Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,750
• Closing costs: $2,130
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,999 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,999 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,999 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,999 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,999 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $70,999 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $73,500 Active 15 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $73,500 Active 14 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $73,500 Active 13 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,500 Active 12 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,500 Active 8 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,500 Active 7 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,500 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $73,500 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-05-12
    listed $78,000 Active 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    1993 Manufactured home located in Twin Cedars of Avon; 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, separate living room and family room, dining area, full kitchen with lots of cupboards and cabinet space; shed out back with plenty of room for storage; partially covered Amish built deck at the entry of the home with storage underneath; laminate hardwood flooring installed in the past few years; new forced air furnace installed within the past 5 years and a new hot water; all appliances included with the home.

16. 2002-10-21
    soldstatus $29,000
17. 2002-09-16
    listed $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,817
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,977
• − Property taxes: −$1,065
• − Insurance: −$355
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,665
• − Management: −$1,665
• − Depreciation: −$2,065
• Taxable income: $10,024
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,406
• After-tax cash flow: $8,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Avon Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3603660
• Math proficiency: 53% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 12.00%
• Median HH income: $55,407
• Composite: 44.56/100
• National rank: #2786
• State rank: #349 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Avon

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #1004
• US rank: #19541

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Livingston County · 6,576 people
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 6,576
• Household income: $72,006
• Rent vs Own: 27.5% rent · 72.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 100.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 63,466 people
• By 2030: 61,966 · -2.4%
• By 2040: 58,398 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 54,955 · -13.4%
• By 2075: 49,958 · -21.3%
• By 2100: 43,944 · -30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Italian 4% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.4) · D 39.3% · R 60.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -21.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.4 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.57%
• Current HPI: 247.7027
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+144.8% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Price Changed $70,999 UNYREIS
• 2026-05-26 Listed $73,500 UNYREIS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $78,000 FSBO.com
• 2002-10-21 Sold (MLS) $29,000 UNYREIS
• 2002-09-16 Listed $29,000 UNYREIS