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8653 Ashley Way
B Composite 73.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$113,000

8653 Ashley Way · Douglasville, GA 30134
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 822 sqft · Townhouse public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1982 Fair condition 2,387 sqft lot $137/sqft · 28% below area Est $157k · 28% under ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath townhome in Ashley Oaks checks the boxes investors care about most-strong rental demand, a practical layout, and a low-maintenance setup that keeps things simple and steady. Whether you're building your portfolio or making your first move, this one makes sense. Tucked into a Douglasville location that tenants love, you're just minutes from shopping, dining, and easy access to I-20-because convenience always rents. Looking to go bigger? This property is part of a rare 18-unit opportunity within the community, giving you the option to scale quickly and secure multiple doors in one place. No fluff. No guesswork. Just a solid opportunity sitting right where it should be.

Key facts

  • Practical layout
  • 18-unit opportunity
  • Easy access to i-20

Tags

PRACTICAL LAYOUTLOW-MAINTENANCE SETUPDOUGLASVILLE LOCATIONMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO I-2018-UNIT OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $113k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.3% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Burnett Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 435 students, 94% FRL); Stewart Middle School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 554 students, 82% FRL); Douglas County High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,969 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 381 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,830 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.63%
Cash-on-cash
15.50%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,071
List price
$113,000
Delta
-28.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8675 Ashley Way 0.04mi 2/1.0 786 (-4%) 5mo $113,000 $144 87
8654 Ashley Way 0.03mi 2/1.0 942 (+15%) 5mo $130,000 $138 70
6706 Clark St 0.41mi 2/2.0 856 (+4%) 3mo $250,000 $292 68
6170 Field Stone Dr 0.83mi 2/2.0 853 (+4%) 7mo $155,000 $182 49
6232 Hospital Way 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (+18%) 15mo $62,400 $64 34
8373 Chicago Ave 0.95mi 2/1.0 952 (+16%) 13mo $80,000 $84 29
8136 Connally Dr 1.08mi 2/1.0 1,020 (+24%) 14mo $160,000 $157 28
6158 Cooper St 0.76mi 2/1.0 961 (+17%) 15mo $80,000 $83 27
6248 Ellis St 0.92mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+23%) 6mo $185,000 $184 26
6104 Cobblestone Ct 0.88mi 2/1.5 1,000 (+22%) 15mo $170,000 $170 25
6183 Field Stone Dr 0.86mi 1/2.0 (-1) 933 (+14%) 13mo $155,000 $166 23
6886 Upshaw Mill Rd 1.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 946 (+15%) 13mo $195,000 $206 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,418
Equity at exit
$16,849
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$19,850
Equity at exit
$9,770

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active
Months of supply
24.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$120,000 ($139/sqft)
Median days on market
130 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+37.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30134

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
381
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,489 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $971
Max offer price $113,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $473 -5% $441 +0% $409 +5% $377 +10% $345
Rent -10% $291 -5% $350 +0% $409 +5% $468 +10% $526
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $438 base $409 +0.5pp $380 +1.0pp $350

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,550 $1.63 93d 1 0.19mi
6266 Melrose St Douglasville, GA 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,325 $1.25 30d 1 0.30mi
8753 Bowden St Douglasville, GA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,300 $1.51 62d 1 0.40mi
6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 978 $1,295 $1.32 52d 1 0.60mi
6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA 1.0 1.0 950 $595 $0.63 4d 1 0.62mi
6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA 1.0 1.0 950 $625 $0.66 93d 1 0.62mi
8460 Hospital Dr Douglasville, GA 1.0 1.0 701 $1,278 $1.82 73d 1 0.75mi
8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 880 $1,187 $1.35 93d 1 0.80mi
9018 Stoneleigh Trce Unit Stoneleigh Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,500 $1.45 27d 1 0.90mi
9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,600 $1.55 67d 1 0.90mi
8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 947 $1,665 $1.76 52d 1 0.95mi
8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1046 $1,295 $1.24 70d 1 1.00mi
8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,510 $1.44 51d 1 1.12mi
8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1210 $1,395 $1.15 93d 1 1.20mi
8057 Fieldstream Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,630 $1.52 12d 1 1.30mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Community has 100 units

Exterior

Parking
Two parking spaces on parking pad
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer110-volt electricCable availableElectricity available
Home design
One-level propertyFee simple ownership
Construction
Brick constructionComposition roofSlab foundationResale condition
Exterior features
PatioPaved city street frontage

Interior

Kitchen
White cabinetsDishwasherElectric range
Bedrooms
Master bedroom on main levelTwo main-level bedrooms
Flooring
Carpet
Bathrooms
One full bathroom with tub/shower comboOne main-level bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Wood window framesOther interior featuresTwo or more shared walls
Laundry & utility
Laundry in common area

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $113,000 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $113,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $113,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $113,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $113,000 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $113,000 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $113,000 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $113,000 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $113,000 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $113,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $113,000 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $113,000 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $113,000 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $113,000 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 99 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 98 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $113,000 Active 97 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $113,000 Active 96 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $113,000 Active 95 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $113,000 Active 94 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $113,000 Active 93 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $113,000 Active 92 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $113,000 Active 91 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $113,000 Active 90 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 88 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $113,000 Active 87 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $113,000 Active 86 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $113,000 Active 85 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $113,000 Active 84 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $113,000 Active 83 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $113,000 Active 82 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $113,000 Active 81 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $113,000 Active 80 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $113,000 Active 79 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $113,000 Active 78 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $113,000 Active 77 DOM
  37. 2026-06-24
    days on market $113,000 Active 75 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $113,000 Active 73 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $113,000 Active 72 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 69 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $113,000 Active 68 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $113,000 Active 67 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $113,000 Active 66 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $113,000 Active 64 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $113,000 Active 60 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,000 Active 59 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 58 DOM
  48. 2026-06-04
    days on market $113,000 Active 55 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $113,000 Active 54 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $113,000 Active 53 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,867
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$1,534
− Insurance
−$565
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,429
− Management
−$1,429
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable income
$3,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$790
After-tax cash flow
$4,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,110–$12,330 screening

This townhome presents as a good investment opportunity with cosmetic updates needed for a fresh look and increased value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Landscaping — Some bushes appear overgrown
  • Minor Paint — White brick siding shows some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Trim and mulch landscaping — Improved landscaping boosts curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 24/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Burnett Elementary School F GA #878/1,228 Nat'l #33,738/41,679 Middle Stewart Middle School F GA #368/470 Nat'l #11,948/14,009 High Douglas County High School F GA #104/424 Nat'l #10,333/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Douglasville, GA
County
Douglas County · 163,022 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,580
Household income
$76,574
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-56.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $113,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $113,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $131,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $113,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $917,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $372,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $287,000 Public Records
  • 2011-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,534 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…