610 W State St · Princeton, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two story home on nice size city lot. The home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen and basement. The home does need some TLC. - All offers must be entered through propoffers.com.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 97 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $789 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 4.6% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#131 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- North Gibson School Corporation (rural): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #223 of 301 in IN (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gibson County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.65%
- DSCR
- 4.01
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,237
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -70.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724 W Emerson St S | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,767 (+9%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $42 | 69 |
| 404 W Spruce St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,413 (-13%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $173 | 61 |
| 315 S Gibson St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,587 (-2%) | 4mo | $176,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 402 N Gibson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,557 (-4%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 222 E Clark St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,745 (+8%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $100 | 55 |
| 421 S Spring St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,536 (-5%) | 5mo | $86,000 | $56 | 53 |
| 325 W Pine St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,799 (+11%) | 12mo | $209,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 624 S First St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,458 (-10%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $123 | 44 |
| 528 W Poplar Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,408 (-13%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $170 | 44 |
| 622 N Gibson St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (-13%) | 0mo | $242,000 | $172 | 43 |
| 313 S Race St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-5%) | 10mo | $137,400 | $89 | 41 |
| 328 E Oak St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,416 (-13%) | 2mo | $198,500 | $140 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $42,227
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 71.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.27×
- Total profit
- $101,751
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47670
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,523/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $789
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 S Main St Princeton, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $1,600 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 629 S Second Ave Princeton, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $1,188 | $1.19 | 43d | 29 | 0.96mi |
| 1651 W Tulip Blossom Ln Princeton, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $1,622 | $1.05 | 43d | 2 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $50,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $55,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Two story home on nice size city lot. The home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen and basement. The home does need some TLC. - All offers must be entered through propoffers.com.
-
2026-04-14price $60,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Two story home on nice size city lot. The home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen and basement. The home does need some TLC. - All offers must be entered through propoffers.com.
-
2026-03-13$65,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Two story home on nice size city lot. The home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen and basement. The home does need some TLC. - All offers must be entered through propoffers.com.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,523 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,523 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,523
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $9,273
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Gibson School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807770
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,595
- Composite
- 27.32/100
- National rank
- #6992
- State rank
- #223 of 301 in IN
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #6840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,638
Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,671 people
- By 2030
- 33,409 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 32,364 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 30,453 · -9.6%
- By 2075
- 24,610 · -26.9%
- By 2100
- 16,217 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gibson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.4% · R 74.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.2pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+31.0 2008: R+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.47%
- Current HPI
- 219.932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-15.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $55,000 IRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $60,000 IRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,523 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…