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3152 156 Hwy
B Composite 72.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$54,900

3152 156 Hwy · Goldonna, LA 71070
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured · 146 Days on market
Built 2000 0.96 ac lot ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Highway access
  • Rural setting
  • Outdoor living

Tags

HIGHWAY ACCESSRURAL SETTINGOUTDOOR LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#375 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Natchitoches Parish (town): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #41 of 98 in LA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Natchitoches Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Natchitoches County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.26%
Cap rate
29.41%
Cash-on-cash
82.56%
DSCR
4.67
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.0%
Equity multiple
5.81×
Total profit
$73,987
Equity at exit
$24,685
10-year hold
IRR
86.5%
Equity multiple
11.99×
Total profit
$169,007
Equity at exit
$38,043

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71070

Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $523/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$1,058

Break-even live

Break-even rent $449
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $54,900 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,900 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $54,900 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 126 DOM
  17. 2026-03-16
    price $54,900 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

  18. 2026-02-27
    price $59,000 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

  19. 2026-02-17
    price $70,000 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

  20. 2026-02-06
    price $79,999 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

  21. 2026-01-24
    listed $84,999 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Spacious 4BR-2BA manufactured home on approximately 1 acre in Saline, LA. Large 2,432 SF layout with central heat & air and plenty of room to spread out. Property offers convenient highway access and a peaceful rural setting with space for parking, storage, and outdoor living. Home needs a bit of TLC and cosmetic updates—priced accordingly—making this a great opportunity to add value and make it your own. Schedule your showing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$523 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$523 · $44/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,448
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$523
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,716
− Management
−$1,716
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$12,547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,011
After-tax cash flow
$9,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natchitoches Parish
NCES district ID
2201140
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -27.00%
Median HH income
$30,204
Composite
26.36/100
National rank
#7235
State rank
#41 of 98 in LA

Livability — Goldonna

Score
55/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#23681

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
736
Population (ZIP)
1,382

Population outlook (Natchitoches County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,130 people
By 2030
37,412 · -1.9%
By 2040
35,550 · -6.8%
By 2050
33,580 · -11.9%
By 2075
29,268 · -23.2%
By 2100
23,909 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 34% Two or more races 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Natchitoches

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.4) · D 38.2% · R 60.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.3pp · 2024: -22.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.4 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+11.0 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+7.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $54,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $59,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $70,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $79,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $84,999 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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