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119 Kingswood Dr
D Composite 40.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

119 Kingswood Dr · Daphne, AL 36526
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1979 9,825 sqft lot $156/sqft · at area comps Est $268k · at est. $70/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.

Key facts

  • Custom built deck
  • Updated flooring
  • Natural wooded area

Tags

CUSTOM BUILT DECKFENCED BACKYARDNATURAL WOODED AREAUPDATED FLOORINGSTAINED WOOD CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $70; Association amenities include clubhouse, outdoor pool, tennis courts, playground and golf; association covers recreational facilities and common area taxes; transfer fees apply

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached single-car garage; One covered parking space
  • Utilities: Riviera Utilities; Cable connected
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Dimensional roof; Slab foundation; Approximately 1800 square feet (assessor)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open front porch; Rear porch; Community pool access; Boat ramp; Less than one acre lot; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator with ice maker
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Internet access; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($610/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (19.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Daphne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $280k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,425 (19.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.78%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$268,114
List price
$279,900
Delta
4.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 Kingswood Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-5%) 2mo $280,000 $164 84
104 Clay Cir 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,773 (-2%) 6mo $247,500 $140 80
331 Ridgewood Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,843 (+2%) 3mo $299,900 $163 78
255 Maple Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,716 (-5%) 3mo $213,000 $124 76
109 Meadow Wood Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,863 (+4%) 0mo $262,000 $141 72
111 Fernwood Cir 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,711 (-5%) 3mo $220,000 $129 69
116 Fernwood Cir 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,676 (-7%) 1mo $282,500 $169 63
100 Maplewood Loop 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,580 (-12%) 5mo $195,000 $123 60
153 Worchester Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,747 (-3%) 5mo $258,000 $148 60
125 Dunbar Loop 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-14%) 3mo $258,000 $166 52
102 Cameron Cir 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,960 (+9%) 3mo $229,000 $117 44
136 Donna Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,563 (-13%) 5mo $255,000 $163 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-45,086
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-46,960
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36526

Home prices YoY
-21.3%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
600
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $1,002/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$70
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,200
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $130 +0% $51 +5% $-28 +10% $-108
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-39 +0% $51 +5% $140 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $192 -0.5pp $122 base $51 +0.5pp $-22 +1.0pp $-96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Cherry Cir Daphne, AL 4.0 2.0 1476 $2,200 $1.49 45d 1 0.36mi
233 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL 3.0 2.0 1922 $1,750 $0.91 45d 1 0.93mi
27035 Allenbrook Ct Daphne, AL 4.0 3.0 2335 $2,795 $1.20 15d 1 1.10mi
27078 Stratford Glen Dr Daphne, AL 4.0 2.0 2200 $2,300 $1.05 15d 1 1.10mi
662 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL 4.0 2.0 2548 $2,500 $0.98 15d 1 1.21mi
9549 Autauga Bnd Daphne, AL 4.0 3.0 2289 $2,895 $1.26 45d 1 1.28mi
9090 Pleasant Rd Daphne, AL 4.0 3.0 2432 $2,795 $1.15 23d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$70 · $840/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $279,900 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $279,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    price $279,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $289,900 Active 2028-char remark
  15. 2013-11-20
    soldstatus $120,326
  16. 2013-11-15
    soldstatus $120,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.

  17. 2013-08-15
    listed $125,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,002 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$146/yr (+$12/mo · 14.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,171
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,002
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,174
− Management
−$2,174
− HOA
−$840
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$4,239
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,017
After-tax cash flow
$1,627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin County
NCES district ID
0100270
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,677
Composite
38.61/100
National rank
#4157
State rank
#18 of 129 in AL

Livability — Daphne

Score
75/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#3949

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Daphne, AL
County
Baldwin County · 181,514 people
City population
36,484
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Population (ZIP)
36,484
Household income
$88,750
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
535.0

Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,264 people
By 2030
270,315 · +8.9%
By 2040
312,967 · +26.1%
By 2050
352,262 · +41.9%
By 2075
438,841 · +76.8%
By 2100
487,736 · +96.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.47%
Current HPI
227.2692
Rent YoY
▲ 1.72%
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending BCAR
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $279,900 BCAR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $289,900 BCAR
  • 2013-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $120,326 Public Records
  • 2013-11-15 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BCAR
  • 2013-08-15 Listed $125,000 BCAR

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,002 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…