119 Kingswood Dr · Daphne, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.
Key facts
- Custom built deck
- Updated flooring
- Natural wooded area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $70; Association amenities include clubhouse, outdoor pool, tennis courts, playground and golf; association covers recreational facilities and common area taxes; transfer fees apply
Exterior
- Parking: Attached single-car garage; One covered parking space
- Utilities: Riviera Utilities; Cable connected
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Dimensional roof; Slab foundation; Approximately 1800 square feet (assessor)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open front porch; Rear porch; Community pool access; Boat ramp; Less than one acre lot; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator with ice maker
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Internet access; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($610/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Daphne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $280k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.78%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,114
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- 4.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Kingswood Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (-5%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $164 | 84 |
| 104 Clay Cir | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,773 (-2%) | 6mo | $247,500 | $140 | 80 |
| 331 Ridgewood Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,843 (+2%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $163 | 78 |
| 255 Maple Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (-5%) | 3mo | $213,000 | $124 | 76 |
| 109 Meadow Wood Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,863 (+4%) | 0mo | $262,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 111 Fernwood Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,711 (-5%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 116 Fernwood Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,676 (-7%) | 1mo | $282,500 | $169 | 63 |
| 100 Maplewood Loop | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-12%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $123 | 60 |
| 153 Worchester Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (-3%) | 5mo | $258,000 | $148 | 60 |
| 125 Dunbar Loop | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (-14%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 102 Cameron Cir | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,960 (+9%) | 3mo | $229,000 | $117 | 44 |
| 136 Donna Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-13%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $163 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-45,086
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-46,960
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36526
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 600
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$70
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $130 | +0% $51 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-39 | +0% $51 | +5% $140 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $122 | base $51 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Cherry Cir Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 233 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 27035 Allenbrook Ct Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2335 | $2,795 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 27078 Stratford Glen Dr Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 662 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2548 | $2,500 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9549 Autauga Bnd Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2289 | $2,895 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9090 Pleasant Rd Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2432 | $2,795 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $70 · $840/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $279,900 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $279,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $279,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $289,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$289,900 Active 2028-char remark
-
2013-11-20soldstatus $120,326
-
2013-11-15soldstatus $120,000 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.
-
2013-08-15$125,000 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
WELCOME HOME TO YOUR BEAUTIFUL TWO-STORY TRADITIONAL! A solid wood front door opens to the living room w/ woodburning BRICK FIREPLACE; French doors lead to your back deck w/ FENCED, LEVEL backyard! SPLIT FLOOR PLAN (master down) includes space perfect for an office/media/bonus room not included in the square footage. Enjoy the convenience of working in Mobile while living on the Eastern Shore.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,002 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$146/yr (+$12/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$1,002
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,174
- − Management
- −$2,174
- − HOA
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$4,239
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daphne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daphne, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 36,484
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,484
- Household income
- $88,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 535.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.47%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+123.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $279,900 BCAR
- 2026-05-15 Listed $289,900 BCAR
- 2013-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $120,326 Public Records
- 2013-11-15 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BCAR
- 2013-08-15 Listed $125,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,002 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…