133 Ambrose Cir · Jenkinsburg, GA 30233

$135,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1988 1.41 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

WELCOME HOME! Beautiful estate home on large 1.4 acre lot close to Jackson, GA. This spacious modular home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths and a bonus room which would be perfect for a home office, playroom, or den. The large living room has a vaulted ceiling with a gas log fireplace and open concept to the kitchen and formal dining room. The primary suite features a large walk-in shower and french doors to the screened in front porch. The home has new windows, fresh exterior two tone paint, a metal roof and both a back and front screened in porch. There is a drive under carport and four outbuildings for storage and tools. The backyard is completely fenced and there is also a large fence

Key facts

• Screened in porch
• Bonus room
• Gas log fireplace

Tags

• LARGE ACRE LOT
• BONUS ROOM
• GAS LOG FIREPLACE
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• SCREENED IN PORCH
• NEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: House
• Construction: Living area approximately 1,584 (living space)
• Exterior features: Situated on a 1.41-acre lot

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#498 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Butts County (rural): math 24% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #103 of 174 in GA (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 321 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Butts County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Butts County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 35% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.95%
• DSCR: 1.80
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.37×
• Total profit: $14,159
• Equity at exit: $20,129

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.56×
• Total profit: $58,809
• Equity at exit: $11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30233

• Home prices YoY: -3.9%
• Active inventory: 321
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,897 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$398
• Net cashflow: $565

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181

Max offer price $135,000

Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $659	-5% $612	+0% $565	+5% $519	+10% $472
Rent	-10% $415	-5% $490	+0% $565	+5% $640	+10% $715
Rate	-1.0pp $633	-0.5pp $600	base $565	+0.5pp $530	+1.0pp $495

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,750
• Closing costs: $4,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   remarks 699-char remark
7. 2026-06-10
   listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 35% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,759
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,562
• − Property taxes: −$2,025
• − Insurance: −$675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,821
• − Management: −$1,821
• − Depreciation: −$3,927
• Taxable income: $4,928
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,183
• After-tax cash flow: $5,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Butts County
• NCES district ID: 1300690
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $45,248
• Composite: 23.65/100
• National rank: #7842
• State rank: #103 of 174 in GA

Livability — Jenkinsburg

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #498
• US rank: #22847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Butts County · 24,730 people
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• Population (ZIP): 24,730
• Household income: $74,222
• Rent vs Own: 23.3% rent · 76.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 88.0

Population outlook (Butts County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,763 people
• By 2030: 22,127 · -2.8%
• By 2040: 20,591 · -9.5%
• By 2050: 18,978 · -16.6%
• By 2075: 15,292 · -32.8%
• By 2100: 11,404 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Butts

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.2) · D 27.2% · R 72.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -45.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.2 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+31.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -12.98%
• Current HPI: 316.5436
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $135,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Property tax history

-10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $71 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.