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3701 Barrington Rd
B- Composite 67.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$187,150

3701 Barrington Rd · Baltimore, MD 21215
6 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,794 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1921 10,080 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

What an opportunity to invest and an excellent income opportunity - live in one unit and rent the 2nd unit for income or investor rental dwelling. The main level features the first unit which consist of a living room, den, kitchen, 1 bedroom and 1 bath and basement access, which also has a half bath. This unit also offers a very large deck. Unit 2 consist of both the 2nd level and 3rd level and this unit features multiple bedrooms (4-5) and 2 full baths along with a very spacious balcony. Outside, the large yard invites relaxation and outdoor activities, while the detached garage provides convenient off-street parking and additional storage options. Located on a serene lot, this property co

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Serene lot
  • Spacious balcony

Tags

LARGE DECKSPACIOUS BALCONYLARGE YARDDETACHED GARAGESERENE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $187k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $187k).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,915/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 3644% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,921 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$407,924
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3904 Belle Ave 0.29mi 6/4.0 2,802 (+0%) 8mo $155,000 $55 78
3415 Springdale Ave 0.51mi 6/3.5 2,737 (-2%) 2mo $443,500 $162 71
3910 Chatham Rd 0.35mi 6/5.0 2,800 (+0%) 9mo $490,000 $175 70
3923 Fairview Ave 0.58mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,788 (-0%) 1mo $360,000 $129 65
3703 Egerton Rd 0.21mi 5/4.5 (-1) 3,051 (+9%) 3mo $479,900 $157 63
3714 W Cold Spring Ln 0.38mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,566 (-8%) 6mo $318,000 $124 57
3816 Sequoia Ave 0.21mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,382 (-15%) 3mo $169,900 $71 54
2912 Allendale Rd 0.65mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,858 (+2%) 7mo $349,900 $122 53
3911 Chatham Rd 0.34mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,407 (-14%) 5mo $370,000 $154 47
4403 White Oak Ave 0.52mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,498 (-11%) 7mo $365,000 $146 46
3514 Fairview Ave 0.49mi 5/4.5 (-1) 3,143 (+12%) 2mo $515,000 $164 45
4300 Springdale Ave 0.73mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,729 (-2%) 7mo $220,000 $81 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$32,943
Equity at exit
$27,905
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$105,499
Equity at exit
$16,181

Cash invested: $52,402 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21215

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$981
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,684/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$1,020

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,624
Max offer price $187,150
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,788
Closing costs
$5,614
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 4.5 2653 $3,200 $1.21 44d 1 0.65mi
2510 Roslyn Ave Baltimore, MD 6.0 5.0 2663 $4,200 $1.58 44d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-01-08
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-18
    price $187,150
  3. 2025-11-08
    status Active
  4. 2025-10-13
    status Pending
  5. 2025-09-26
    listed $197,000 Active
  6. 2025-07-29
    historical
  7. 2025-07-07
    listed $197,000 Active
  8. 2024-03-11
    status Pending
  9. 2024-03-11
    historical
  10. 2024-01-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2024-01-15
    listed $187,990 Active
  12. 2007-06-21
    soldstatus $185,000
  13. 2007-05-21
    soldstatus $185,000
  14. 2007-05-10
    soldstatus $185,000
  15. 2007-03-28
    historical
  16. 2007-03-21
    listed $185,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,684 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,684 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,980
− Mortgage interest
−$10,483
− Property taxes
−$2,684
− Insurance
−$936
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,798
− Management
−$2,798
− Depreciation
−$5,444
Taxable income
$9,836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,361
After-tax cash flow
$9,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
52,229
Household income
$51,587
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
3644.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.58%
Current HPI
291.4926
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $187,150 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-08 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $197,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $197,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-19 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-15 Listed $187,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-10 Sold (MLS) $185,000 MRIS
  • 2007-03-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-03-21 Listed $185,000 MRIS

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,684 · -47.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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