11980 Highway 501 · Saline, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Who wants a cabin in the country? This is a late model 2022 singlewide manufactured home. It has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, nice kitchen and living area. The home also has a nice deck on the front and sits on 2 acres of land. You can literally hunt from the front porch. Plenty of room for a garden or a workshop. Home does qualify for FHA, or rural development financing. New skirting coming soon!
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Built 2022
- Listed 489 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#349 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bienville Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #42 of 98 in LA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Bienville Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bienville County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 489 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 489 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.50%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $56,300
- Equity at exit
- $38,175
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $135,924
- Equity at exit
- $58,832
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71070
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,649 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $723
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $771 | -5% $747 | +0% $723 | +5% $699 | +10% $675 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $593 | -5% $658 | +0% $723 | +5% $788 | +10% $853 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $745 | base $723 | +0.5pp $701 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2025-11-07price $84,900
-
2025-05-20price $89,900
-
2025-03-20price $92,900
-
2025-02-03status Active
-
2025-01-17status Pending
-
2024-11-27$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,188
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,583
- − Management
- −$1,583
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $7,783
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,868
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,809/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bienville Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200210
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,737
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7296
- State rank
- #42 of 98 in LA
Livability — Saline
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #349
- US rank
- #22978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,382
Population outlook (Bienville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,109 people
- By 2030
- 12,626 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 11,620 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 10,647 · -18.8%
- By 2075
- 8,555 · -34.7%
- By 2100
- 6,717 · -48.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 34% Two or more races 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bienville
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.5% · R 58.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+8.9 2012: R+2.1 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-10.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $84,900 NTREIS
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $89,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $92,900 NTREIS
- 2025-02-03 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-01-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2024-11-27 Listed $95,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,188 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…