Fourplex
1850 Russell Blvd · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$650,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
All brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units. Each unit has an large living room with a fireplace and beautiful hardwood floors. The living room opens in to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, dishwasher, and, in unit laundry. Updated bathrooms with subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and large windows for natural lighting. It is a short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pecs water lines, updated electric, newer furnaces and AC condensers, newer water heaters and decorative exposed brick.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Eat in kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $171/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $606k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $592k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Nahed Chapman New American Aca (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,062/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($592k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.50%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $610,800
- List price
- $650,000
- Delta
- 6.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 Russell Blvd | 0.05mi | 8/4.0 | 5,238 (-5%) | 20mo | $650,000 | $124 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-33,174
- Equity at exit
- $96,917
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $156,372
- Equity at exit
- $56,200
Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63104
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 35.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,409
- Tax from tax record
- −$427 /mo · $5,122/yr
- Insurance
- −$271
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,273
- Net cashflow
- $683
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,051 | -5% $867 | +0% $683 | +5% $499 | +10% $315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $204 | -5% $443 | +0% $683 | +5% $922 | +10% $1,161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,010 | -0.5pp $848 | base $683 | +0.5pp $514 | +1.0pp $343 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $6,064 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,516 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,516 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,516 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,516 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,062 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,500
- Closing costs
- $19,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $650,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $650,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $650,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $650,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $650,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $650,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $650,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $650,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $650,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $650,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $650,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $650,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $650,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $650,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $650,000 746-char remark
Show marketing remark (746 chars)
All brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units. Each unit has an large living room with a fireplace and beautiful hardwood floors. The living room opens in to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, dishwasher, and, in unit laundry. Updated bathrooms with subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and large windows for natural lighting. It is a short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pecs water lines, updated electric, newer furnaces and AC condensers, newer water heaters and decorative exposed brick.
-
2026-03-12price $675,000 746-char remark
Show marketing remark (746 chars)
All brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units. Each unit has an large living room with a fireplace and beautiful hardwood floors. The living room opens in to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, dishwasher, and, in unit laundry. Updated bathrooms with subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and large windows for natural lighting. It is a short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pecs water lines, updated electric, newer furnaces and AC condensers, newer water heaters and decorative exposed brick.
-
2026-02-25$685,000 Active 746-char remark
Show marketing remark (746 chars)
All brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units. Each unit has an large living room with a fireplace and beautiful hardwood floors. The living room opens in to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, dishwasher, and, in unit laundry. Updated bathrooms with subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and large windows for natural lighting. It is a short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pecs water lines, updated electric, newer furnaces and AC condensers, newer water heaters and decorative exposed brick.
-
2022-03-23soldstatus $700,000
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2022-03-18soldstatus Closed 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
This MASSIVE 5508 sq ft brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units rented at the top of the market - $1,795, $1,795, $950, and $895. Enter each unit to find an XL living room decked out with a charming fireplace and refinished hardwood floor. The living room opens beautifully to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, DISHWASHERS, and OF COURSE, IN UNIT LAUNDRY. Down the hall, stun your tenants with brand spankin’ new bathrooms - subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and XL windows, perfect for all those newly acquired houseplants! And of course, tenants love the short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pex water lines, UPDATED electric, NEWER furnaces and AC condensers, NEWER water heaters, backyard and more! SOLD AS-IS.
-
2022-02-17status Pending 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
This MASSIVE 5508 sq ft brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units rented at the top of the market - $1,795, $1,795, $950, and $895. Enter each unit to find an XL living room decked out with a charming fireplace and refinished hardwood floor. The living room opens beautifully to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, DISHWASHERS, and OF COURSE, IN UNIT LAUNDRY. Down the hall, stun your tenants with brand spankin’ new bathrooms - subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and XL windows, perfect for all those newly acquired houseplants! And of course, tenants love the short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pex water lines, UPDATED electric, NEWER furnaces and AC condensers, NEWER water heaters, backyard and more! SOLD AS-IS.
-
2022-02-11$695,000 Active 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
This MASSIVE 5508 sq ft brick four family FULLY RENOVATED in 2020 is a McKinley Heights gem. Two 3/2 units and Two 1/1 units rented at the top of the market - $1,795, $1,795, $950, and $895. Enter each unit to find an XL living room decked out with a charming fireplace and refinished hardwood floor. The living room opens beautifully to the eat in kitchen, perfect for dining and entertaining - new stainless steel appliances, updated cabinetry & countertops, DISHWASHERS, and OF COURSE, IN UNIT LAUNDRY. Down the hall, stun your tenants with brand spankin’ new bathrooms - subway tile, fresh gray vanities, and brand new hardware. All bedrooms are complete with ceiling fans and XL windows, perfect for all those newly acquired houseplants! And of course, tenants love the short distance to restaurants, bars, parks, and entertainment! PVC stacks, pex water lines, UPDATED electric, NEWER furnaces and AC condensers, NEWER water heaters, backyard and more! SOLD AS-IS.
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2019-10-25soldstatus Closed
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2019-10-13status Pending
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2019-09-09historical Active Under Contract
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2019-09-05$325,000 Active
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1998-02-13soldstatus
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1998-02-09soldstatus
-
1997-06-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,122 · $427/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,305 · $525/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,183/yr (+$99/mo · 23.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,410
- − Property taxes
- −$5,122
- − Insurance
- −$3,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,820
- − Management
- −$5,820
- − Depreciation
- −$18,909
- Taxable loss
- −$2,587
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$621
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,007
- Household income
- $68,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 37% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.69%
- Current HPI
- 252.3452
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.52%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $650,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $675,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $685,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-18 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-17 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-11 Listed $695,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-25 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-13 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-09 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-05 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-02-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-02-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+17.4%/yrLatest (2024): $5,122 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…