4767 Four Seasons Dr · Liverpool, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DELAYED SHOWINGS UNTIL 7-17-2020 & NO NEGOTIATIONS UNTIL 7-19-2020 @3PM. UPGRADED & SOUGHT AFTER "1,560" SQ. FT. 3 BEDROOM 2 ½ BATH COLONIAL W/ 2 CAR GARAGE & GORGEOUS INGROUND POOL TO KEEP YOUR FAMILY SAFE DURING COVID!!!! ENTER HOME WITH NEW STEP PLUS CAST STAIRS & LEADED GLASS GORGEOUS DOOR. HARDWOOD FLOORING SPAN THROUGH LIVING ROOM, FAMILY ROOM & DINING! CLASSIC BRICK FIREPLACE WITH GAS LOGS. SOLID CONTEMPORARY EURO STYLE "MAPLE" KITCHEN W/ MASSIVE PANTRY+UNDER CABINET LED LIGHTING+ LARGE EATING AREA! SLIDER TO HUGE “DECKS-R-US DECK OVERLOOKING INGROUND POOL W/ NEWER SAFETY COVER. SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM W/ HARDWOODS!! FORMAL DINING ROOM W/ NEW LIGHTING! UPDATED ½ BATH! TWO SPACIOUS BEDROOMS W/ UPGRADED HALL BATH(NEW FLOORS/MODERN GLASS TOP VANITY)! MASTER BEDROOM SUITE W/ WALK-IN CLOSET(CUSTOM CLOSET SHELVES)+FULL BATH WITH STAND UP SHOWER W/ VINYL SURROUNDS. $AVE= 5 YEAR OLD ROOF+FURNACE 2019 STOVE+DRYER(ALL APLIANCES STAY)!!! HOME ALSO HAS VINYL SIDING+NEWER SLIDING GLASS DOOR+LIGHTING+GARAGE DOORS+OPENER!! LOT SITS NEXT TO OPEN TOWN OWNED LOT-USE FOR PARTIES! (PLANNED ROAD 30 YEARS AGO) GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD CLOSE TO WEGMANS +RESTAURANTS AND MORE! WOW!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- In-ground pool
- Brick gas fire place
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Two garage spaces; Driveway; Garage door opener
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story existing home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Patio; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot; Road frontage on a city street; Lot dimensions approximately 125 x 130
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Combined living/dining room; Pantry; Full basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (18.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in NY, #363 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $188k; list at $285k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.57%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $307,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4741 New Hope S | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (0%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $205 | 80 |
| 4953 Stillwood Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-3%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $197 | 75 |
| 4970 Woodmark Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (-6%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 4987 Dahlia Cir | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,520 (-3%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 4913 Look Kinney Cir | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (-1%) | 6mo | $388,000 | $252 | 65 |
| 4763 Stonehurst Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,528 (-2%) | 7mo | $281,000 | $184 | 65 |
| 7574 Manor Ln | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,330 (-15%) | 5mo | $310,500 | $233 | 63 |
| 4910 Dahlia Cir | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,470 (-6%) | 6mo | $298,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 4799 Buckley Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-14%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $160 | 57 |
| 7617 Fitzpatrick Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,708 (+10%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 4957 Look Kinney Cir | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 1,736 (+11%) | 0mo | $367,000 | $211 | 51 |
| 7796 Newhope West | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,694 (+9%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $186 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-65,342
- Equity at exit
- $42,480
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-81,077
- Equity at exit
- $24,633
Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13088
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,494
- Tax from tax record
- −$599 /mo · $7,183/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $-304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-143 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-385 | +10% $-465 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-495 | -5% $-399 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-209 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-161 | -0.5pp $-232 | base $-304 | +0.5pp $-378 | +1.0pp $-453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,225
- Closing costs
- $8,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7648 Autumnal Ln Liverpool, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1 Gallowgate Ct Liverpool, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1585 | $1,698 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $284,900 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$284,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,183 · $599/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,183 · $599/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,959
- − Property taxes
- −$7,183
- − Insurance
- −$1,424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,318
- − Management
- −$2,318
- − Depreciation
- −$8,288
- Taxable loss
- −$8,518
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Syracuse Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3356
- State rank
- #402 of 590 in NY
Livability — Liverpool
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 29,004
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,875
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.59%
- Current HPI
- 334.0109
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+59.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $284,900 CNYIS
- 2020-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-12 Sold (MLS) $188,000 CNYIS
- 2020-07-20 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-07-20 Price Changed $189,900 CNYIS
- 2020-07-15 Listed $169,900 CNYIS
- 2019-11-11 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-09-30 Price Changed $174,900 CNYIS
- 2019-09-11 Listed $178,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $7,183 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…