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4767 Four Seasons Dr
D- Composite 37.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,900

4767 Four Seasons Dr · Liverpool, NY 13088
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1982 0.37 ac lot Est $307k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DELAYED SHOWINGS UNTIL 7-17-2020 & NO NEGOTIATIONS UNTIL 7-19-2020 @3PM. UPGRADED & SOUGHT AFTER "1,560" SQ. FT. 3 BEDROOM 2 ½ BATH COLONIAL W/ 2 CAR GARAGE & GORGEOUS INGROUND POOL TO KEEP YOUR FAMILY SAFE DURING COVID!!!! ENTER HOME WITH NEW STEP PLUS CAST STAIRS & LEADED GLASS GORGEOUS DOOR. HARDWOOD FLOORING SPAN THROUGH LIVING ROOM, FAMILY ROOM & DINING! CLASSIC BRICK FIREPLACE WITH GAS LOGS. SOLID CONTEMPORARY EURO STYLE "MAPLE" KITCHEN W/ MASSIVE PANTRY+UNDER CABINET LED LIGHTING+ LARGE EATING AREA! SLIDER TO HUGE “DECKS-R-US DECK OVERLOOKING INGROUND POOL W/ NEWER SAFETY COVER. SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM W/ HARDWOODS!! FORMAL DINING ROOM W/ NEW LIGHTING! UPDATED ½ BATH! TWO SPACIOUS BEDROOMS W/ UPGRADED HALL BATH(NEW FLOORS/MODERN GLASS TOP VANITY)! MASTER BEDROOM SUITE W/ WALK-IN CLOSET(CUSTOM CLOSET SHELVES)+FULL BATH WITH STAND UP SHOWER W/ VINYL SURROUNDS. $AVE= 5 YEAR OLD ROOF+FURNACE 2019 STOVE+DRYER(ALL APLIANCES STAY)!!! HOME ALSO HAS VINYL SIDING+NEWER SLIDING GLASS DOOR+LIGHTING+GARAGE DOORS+OPENER!! LOT SITS NEXT TO OPEN TOWN OWNED LOT-USE FOR PARTIES! (PLANNED ROAD 30 YEARS AGO) GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD CLOSE TO WEGMANS +RESTAURANTS AND MORE! WOW!

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • In-ground pool
  • Brick gas fire place

Tags

IN-GROUND POOLOVERSIZED LOTHARDWOOD FLOORINGBRICK GAS FIRE PLACEUPDATED MAPLE KITCHENUNDER-CABINET LED LIGHTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Two garage spaces; Driveway; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story existing home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Resale condition
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Patio; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot; Road frontage on a city street; Lot dimensions approximately 125 x 130

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Combined living/dining room; Pantry; Full basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (18.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in NY, #363 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $188k; list at $285k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $231,197 (18.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.57%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$307,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4741 New Hope S 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,560 (0%) 1mo $320,000 $205 80
4953 Stillwood Ln 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-3%) 1mo $300,000 $197 75
4970 Woodmark Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,468 (-6%) 7mo $225,000 $153 68
4987 Dahlia Cir 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,520 (-3%) 5mo $250,000 $164 66
4913 Look Kinney Cir 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,540 (-1%) 6mo $388,000 $252 65
4763 Stonehurst Rd 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,528 (-2%) 7mo $281,000 $184 65
7574 Manor Ln 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,330 (-15%) 5mo $310,500 $233 63
4910 Dahlia Cir 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,470 (-6%) 6mo $298,000 $203 62
4799 Buckley Rd 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-14%) 6mo $215,000 $160 57
7617 Fitzpatrick Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,708 (+10%) 7mo $265,000 $155 55
4957 Look Kinney Cir 0.55mi 3/3.0 1,736 (+11%) 0mo $367,000 $211 51
7796 Newhope West 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,694 (+9%) 8mo $315,000 $186 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.9%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-65,342
Equity at exit
$42,480
10-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-81,077
Equity at exit
$24,633

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13088

Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,414 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax from tax record
$599 /mo · $7,183/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$-304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,799
Max offer price $231,197
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-143 -5% $-223 +0% $-304 +5% $-385 +10% $-465
Rent -10% $-495 -5% $-399 +0% $-304 +5% $-209 +10% $-113
Rate -1.0pp $-161 -0.5pp $-232 base $-304 +0.5pp $-378 +1.0pp $-453

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7648 Autumnal Ln Liverpool, NY 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,500 $2.27 14d 1 0.11mi
1 Gallowgate Ct Liverpool, NY 3.0 1.5 1585 $1,698 $1.07 14d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $284,900 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $284,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $284,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,183 · $599/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,183 · $599/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,973
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$7,183
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,318
− Management
−$2,318
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$8,518
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,044
After-tax cash flow
$-1,604/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — Liverpool

Score
86/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#363

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
29,004
Population (ZIP)
21,875

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -185.59%
Current HPI
334.0109
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $284,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-12 Sold (MLS) $188,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-07-20 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-07-20 Price Changed $189,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-07-15 Listed $169,900 CNYIS
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2019-09-30 Price Changed $174,900 CNYIS
  • 2019-09-11 Listed $178,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,183 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…