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6915 Sentinel Ln
D Composite 40.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$370,000

6915 Sentinel Ln · Harrison, TN 37341
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,978 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 2022 0.43 ac lot Est $370k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2022

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.43 acres (dimensions ~104.83 x 202.24)
  • Financial info: Public maintained road access
  • HOA & community: Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Concrete driveway; Gravel parking
  • Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Secured garage/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family house; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Rain gutters; Back yard; Private lot; Sloped-down lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Refrigerator; Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ductless heating/air; Electric heating; Central air; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings; High-speed internet available; Wired for data; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Finished basement with crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($974/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Brown Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,912 (21.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.94%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$369,886
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6227 Rim Ridge Ct 0.41mi 4/2.5 2,111 (+7%) 7mo $337,500 $160 62
6039 Porter Dr 0.34mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,748 (-12%) 2mo $366,500 $210 56
5800 Old Fort Ln 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,768 (-11%) 19mo $270,000 $153 45
6903 Deerwood Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,718 (-13%) 15mo $321,000 $187 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-54,949
Equity at exit
$55,168
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-41,859
Equity at exit
$31,991

Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37341

Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,909 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$611
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,806
Max offer price $370,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $291 -5% $186 +0% $81 +5% $-24 +10% $-128
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-34 +0% $81 +5% $196 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $175 base $81 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-112

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,500
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6383 Rim Crest Ln Harrison, TN 4.0 2.5 2068 $2,395 $1.16 16d 1 0.70mi
6969 Mercedes Ln Ooltewah, TN 3.0 2.5 2100 $4,000 $1.90 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $370,000 Pending 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $370,000 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $370,000 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $370,000 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-05-03
    price $370,000
  6. 2026-04-22
    price $380,000
  7. 2026-04-03
    price $390,000
  8. 2026-03-24
    price $399,000
  9. 2026-02-26
    listed $400,000 Active
  10. 2026-02-17
    historical $400,000
  11. 2025-02-03
    soldstatus $365,000
  12. 2025-01-30
    soldstatus $365,000 Closed 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!

  13. 2025-01-30
    soldstatus $365,000 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!

  14. 2024-12-27
    historical Active Under Contract 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!

  15. 2024-10-24
    listed $375,000 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!

  16. 2022-12-14
    soldstatus $278,000
  17. 2022-12-08
    soldstatus $278,000 Closed
  18. 2022-12-08
    soldstatus $278,000
  19. 2022-10-06
    historical Contingent
  20. 2022-10-04
    listed $269,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,470 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,627 · $219/mo
Expected delta
+$1,157/yr (+$96/mo · 78.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,909
− Mortgage interest
−$20,726
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,793
− Management
−$2,793
− Depreciation
−$10,764
Taxable loss
−$5,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,317
After-tax cash flow
$2,291/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Harrison

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#12687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrison, TN
Population (ZIP)
14,966

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -261.59%
Current HPI
275.5006
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $370,000 GCAR
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $380,000 GCAR
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $390,000 GCAR
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $399,000 GCAR
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $400,000 GCAR
  • 2026-02-17 Coming Soon $400,000 GCAR
  • 2025-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) $365,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) $365,000 GCAR
  • 2024-12-27 Contingent GCAR
  • 2024-10-24 Listed $375,000 GCAR
  • 2022-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-08 Sold (MLS) $278,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-08 Sold (MLS) $278,000 GCAR
  • 2022-10-06 Contingent GCAR
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $269,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,470 · +776.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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