6915 Sentinel Ln · Harrison, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$370,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2022
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.43 acres (dimensions ~104.83 x 202.24)
- Financial info: Public maintained road access
- HOA & community: Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Concrete driveway; Gravel parking
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Secured garage/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Single family house; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Rain gutters; Back yard; Private lot; Sloped-down lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Refrigerator; Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ductless heating/air; Electric heating; Central air; Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings; High-speed internet available; Wired for data; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Finished basement with crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($974/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $291k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Brown Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.94%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $369,886
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6227 Rim Ridge Ct | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,111 (+7%) | 7mo | $337,500 | $160 | 62 |
| 6039 Porter Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,748 (-12%) | 2mo | $366,500 | $210 | 56 |
| 5800 Old Fort Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,768 (-11%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 6903 Deerwood Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,718 (-13%) | 15mo | $321,000 | $187 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-54,949
- Equity at exit
- $55,168
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-41,859
- Equity at exit
- $31,991
Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37341
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,909 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,940
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$611
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $291 | -5% $186 | +0% $81 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-34 | +0% $81 | +5% $196 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $175 | base $81 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-112 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,500
- Closing costs
- $11,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6383 Rim Crest Ln Harrison, TN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2068 | $2,395 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6969 Mercedes Ln Ooltewah, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $4,000 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-02status $370,000 Pending 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $370,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $370,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $370,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $370,000
-
2026-04-22price $380,000
-
2026-04-03price $390,000
-
2026-03-24price $399,000
-
2026-02-26$400,000 Active
-
2026-02-17historical $400,000
-
2025-02-03soldstatus $365,000
-
2025-01-30soldstatus $365,000 Closed 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!
-
2025-01-30soldstatus $365,000 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!
-
2024-12-27historical Active Under Contract 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!
-
2024-10-24$375,000 Active 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Walk into this charming open floor plan with a large kitchen and vaulted ceiling. Kitchen features an island and granite countertops, as well as stainless steel appliances. This home has the master bedroom on the main level with a custom tile shower & walk in closet. The split floor plan allows for privacy and ideal spacing for the other 2 guest bedrooms. Head downstairs and enjoy a finished out basement. There is a family room with a full bathroom and a separate bedroom. Ideal for an in law suite or a college student needing their space. Schedule an appointment and make this better than new home yours today!
-
2022-12-14soldstatus $278,000
-
2022-12-08soldstatus $278,000 Closed
-
2022-12-08soldstatus $278,000
-
2022-10-06historical Contingent
-
2022-10-04$269,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,470 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,627 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,157/yr (+$96/mo · 78.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,726
- − Property taxes
- −$1,470
- − Insurance
- −$1,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,793
- − Management
- −$2,793
- − Depreciation
- −$10,764
- Taxable loss
- −$5,486
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Harrison
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #139
- US rank
- #12687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrison, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,966
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.59%
- Current HPI
- 275.5006
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+37.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $370,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $380,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $390,000 GCAR
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $399,000 GCAR
- 2026-02-26 Listed $400,000 GCAR
- 2026-02-17 Coming Soon $400,000 GCAR
- 2025-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) $365,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) $365,000 GCAR
- 2024-12-27 Contingent — GCAR
- 2024-10-24 Listed $375,000 GCAR
- 2022-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-08 Sold (MLS) $278,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-08 Sold (MLS) $278,000 GCAR
- 2022-10-06 Contingent — GCAR
- 2022-10-04 Listed $269,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,470 · +776.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…