4 Bed 2 Bath Single Section Plan · Chesterfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!
Key facts
- Variety of stores
- Anchor bay parks
- Listed 159 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $630 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $649 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.73%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,900
- List price
- $93,900
- Delta
- 109.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29636 Cambridge Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-4%) | 6mo | $44,900 | $30 | 74 |
| 52522 Potamac Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+7%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $30 | 72 |
| 52529 Pineview Cir | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 9mo | $163,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 52193 Harrisburg Ln | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,563 (-0%) | 24mo | $62,000 | $40 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $24,907
- Equity at exit
- $14,001
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $73,421
- Equity at exit
- $8,119
Cash invested: $26,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48051
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$492
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$117 /mo · $1,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $630
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,475
- Closing costs
- $2,817
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52436 Winston Ct Unit 209 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 29909 Flushing Dr Unit 71 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,669 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 29811 W Essex Ct Unit 114 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,729 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 29778 W Essex Ct Unit 109 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,469 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 29810 W Essex Ct Unit 107 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,439 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 29805 Jamestown Dr Unit 435 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,739 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 29638 Danbury Ct Unit 240 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,749 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 52167 Williamsburg Ln Unit 355 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,739 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 29652 Cambridge Ct Unit 253 New Baltimore, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,729 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 52780 S Zacharias Ct Unit 152 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,499 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 52792 S Zacharias Ct Unit 151 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 29649 Cambridge Ct Unit 256 New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,579 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 52705 Van Buren Dr Unit 297 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,479 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 52871 N Zacharias Ct Unit 161 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,519 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 52962 N Yorktown Ct Unit 168 Chesterfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,519 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 28220 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 28260 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $93,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $93,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $93,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $93,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $93,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $93,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $93,900 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $93,900 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $93,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $93,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $93,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-04-09status Active 1237-char remark
Show marketing remark (1237 chars)
Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!
-
2026-03-30historical 1237-char remark
Show marketing remark (1237 chars)
Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!
-
2025-12-30$93,900 Active 1237-char remark
Show marketing remark (1237 chars)
Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,260
- − Property taxes
- −$1,408
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,554
- − Management
- −$1,554
- − Depreciation
- −$2,732
- Taxable income
- $6,444
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,546
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-section manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good starting point for cosmetic updates and improvements to boost its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Both Updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value for both resale and rental purposes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- L'Anse Creuse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,757
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #4790
- State rank
- #184 of 540 in MI
Livability — Chesterfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 40,302
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,716
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.06%
- Current HPI
- 210.6017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-30 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-30 Listed $93,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…