340 Elm Ave · Lewisburg, TN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$266,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Exterior deck
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No covered parking reported; No total parking spaces reported
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.3-acre lot; Lot dimensions about 182.14 x 118.05; Lot size calculated from plat
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: No basement; Central heating and central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $266k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $266k).
- Recommended offer: $250k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.8% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary (471 students, 0% FRL); Westhills Elementary (math 29% / reading 23%, grade F, #144 of 333 statewide, top 44%, 603 students, 0% FRL); Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.40%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,500
- List price
- $266,000
- Delta
- -3.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 948 Oak St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (+3%) | 12mo | $271,000 | $181 | 72 |
| 188 Trey Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-2%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $192 | 69 |
| 930 Oak St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (-7%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $176 | 67 |
| 1080 Finley Beech Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (-7%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $224 | 62 |
| 330 Hickory Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $212 | 58 |
| 310 Lexie Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-7%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $233 | 53 |
| 956 E Commerce St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-15%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $181 | 48 |
| 1025 Curtis Springs Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+15%) | 1mo | $299,990 | $179 | 38 |
| 1021 Curtis Springs Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+15%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $179 | 37 |
| 1002 Nature Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+15%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $179 | 37 |
| 301 East Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (-14%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $119 | 36 |
| 1006 Nature Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+15%) | 5mo | $329,990 | $197 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $49,344
- Equity at exit
- $39,661
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $161,876
- Equity at exit
- $22,999
Cash invested: $74,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37091
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,944 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,395
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$828
- Net cashflow
- $1,452
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,603 | -5% $1,528 | +0% $1,452 | +5% $1,377 | +10% $1,302 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,141 | -5% $1,296 | +0% $1,452 | +5% $1,608 | +10% $1,764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,586 | -0.5pp $1,520 | base $1,452 | +0.5pp $1,383 | +1.0pp $1,313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,500
- Closing costs
- $7,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 E Church St Lewisburg, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,000 | $4.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 335 E Hill Ave Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $5,000 | $2.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 566 1st Ave N Lewisburg, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,250 | $2.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $266,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $266,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $266,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $266,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $266,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $266,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $270,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $276,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $276,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $276,000 308-char remark
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2026-04-21$280,000 Active 308-char remark
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2026-04-07soldstatus $254,400
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2026-03-11historical
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2026-03-06price $284,999
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2026-02-12price $289,900
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2026-02-12price $290,000
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2026-01-19$299,000 Active
-
2018-08-24soldstatus $160,200 Closed
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-08-24soldstatus $160,200
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-07-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-07-10status Active
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-07-09price $158,900
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-05-24historical Contingent - Inspection
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2018-05-24$154,900 Active
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
New construction. 3bdrm 2 ba -similar to 160 Coco Lane - Flooring:carpet in bedrooms - vinyl in wet areas - laminate in living & kitchen. Oil rubbed bronze fixtures. Back on the market! Will not last long! Call today!
-
2009-11-19soldstatus $101,691
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,900
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$1,330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,786
- − Management
- −$3,786
- − Depreciation
- −$7,738
- Taxable income
- $13,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,335
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 4702670
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,058
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7426
- State rank
- #58 of 139 in TN
Livability — Lewisburg
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #284
- US rank
- #20031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewisburg, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,991
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,222 people
- By 2030
- 33,867 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 34,743 · +4.6%
- By 2050
- 34,954 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 34,652 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 31,862 · -4.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 350.5306
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+161.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $266,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $270,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $276,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $280,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $254,400 Public Records
- 2026-03-11 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $284,999 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $289,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $290,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Listed $299,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $160,200 Public Records
- 2018-08-24 Sold (MLS) $160,200 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-16 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-10 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-09 Price Changed $158,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-24 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-24 Listed $154,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $101,691 Public Records
Property tax history
+30.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,890 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…