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504 SE 3rd St St
C Composite 58.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

504 SE 3rd St St · Aledo, IL 61231
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 616 sqft · SingleFamily · 89 Days on market
Built 2003 2,400 sqft lot Est $49k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This adorable building has been home to many different businesses over the years. This property is full of potential and looking for a new owner! While this building is currently set up as a dog groomer, it could easily be converted into any type of business or ever converted back into a residential home. Let your imagination explore the possibilities! Schedule a private showing today!

Key facts

  • 2,400 sq ft lot
  • Built 2003
  • Listed 89 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No special service area

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation; Built approximately 21–25 years ago
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 40; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Main level)
  • Flooring: Other flooring (kitchen and bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with egress window; School bus service

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($708 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#390 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mercer County School District 404 (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #439 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.98%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$48,664
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
504 SE 3rd St St 0.00mi 1/1.0 616 (0%) 3mo $48,500 $79 97

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$2,525
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$16,957
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61231

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$149
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 N College Ave Unit 109 A Aledo, IL 2.0 1.0 611 $850 $1.39 21d 1 0.32mi
127 W Main St Unit Main Aledo, IL 1.0 600 $575 $0.96 43d 1 0.33mi
607 NE 3rd Ave Apt 5 Aledo, IL 1.0 1.0 415 $685 $1.65 43d 1 0.49mi
407 SW 8th St Unit 405 Aledo, IL 2.0 1.0 550 $685 $1.25 13d 1 0.59mi
804 SW 4th St Apt 6 Aledo, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 43d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $55,000 Active
  2. 2026-03-18
    soldstatus Closed
  3. 2026-02-04
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  4. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-06
    historical
  6. 2026-01-05
    historical
  7. 2025-12-17
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,499
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$680
− Management
−$680
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$1,358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$326
After-tax cash flow
$1,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mercer County School District 404
NCES district ID
1701395
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,980
Composite
16.76/100
National rank
#9158
State rank
#439 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aledo

Score
69/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#8198

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aledo, IL
Population (ZIP)
4,958

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,595 people
By 2030
13,846 · -5.1%
By 2040
12,335 · -15.5%
By 2050
10,893 · -25.4%
By 2075
8,238 · -43.6%
By 2100
6,111 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.03%
Current HPI
140.0
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Sold (MLS) MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…