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214 Shumway St Duplex
A- Composite 83.52
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

214 Shumway St · Buffalo, NY 14212
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1910 3,150 sqft lot $103/sqft · 16% below area Est $179k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 2-unit home offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors on Buffalo’s East Side. Each flat features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, providing flexible living space or solid rental income potential in a convenient city location. Both units offer comfortable room sizes and practical layouts designed for everyday living. A manageable lot and traditional neighborhood setting make maintenance straightforward while still offering outdoor space for tenants or owners to enjoy. Located close to major routes, neighborhood amenities, and public transportation, this multi-family home is positioned for strong rental demand and long-term upside. Whether you are ad

Key facts

  • Solid rental income
  • Major routes
  • 2 unit home

Tags

2 UNIT HOMEFLEXIBLE LIVING SPACESOLID RENTAL INCOMEOUTDOOR SPACEMAJOR ROUTESNEIGHBORHOOD AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays water; water included in rent; Operating expenses include water

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: Single-story building; Multifamily property with 2 total units; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Existing (year built details)
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each with living room and formal dining room)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (total 2 full bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $248/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.26%
Cash-on-cash
14.16%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,943
List price
$149,900
Delta
-16.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
88 Coit St #2 0.26mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,407 (-3%) 6mo $135,000 $96 72
121 Reed St 0.48mi 4/3.0 1,611 (+11%) 16mo $155,000 $96 42
132 Gibson St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,626 (+12%) 23mo $160,000 $98 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$113,202
Equity at exit
$135,042
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
8.35×
Total profit
$308,621
Equity at exit
$291,223

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14212

Home prices YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,938 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,938

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 23d 1 0.75mi
17 N Pearl St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,100 $2.59 23d 1 1.46mi
44 N Pearl St #5 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $149,900 Active 826-char remark
  16. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus $50,000
  17. 2021-07-23
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,256
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,860
− Management
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$3,780
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$5,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
City population
440,021
Population (ZIP)
13,603

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Black 27% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Philippines, Canada, China
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 18% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 79.80%
Current HPI
471.6399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+199.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $192 · +42.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…