3695 Dale Ct · Mount Dora, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$216,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice two-bedroom one bathroom cement block house on a calm cul-de-sac. Move in ready with a closed-in back porch and spacious fenced-in back yard. The house has a new roof in May 2025, washer and dryer are three years old. The outside and inside of the house were painted in February 2025, large 1.5 car garage.
Key facts
- Fenced-in back yard
- New hvac
- Closed-in back porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-6; Lot approximately 0.3 acres (88 x 150), asphalt public road access
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces southwest; Residential property
- Construction: Concrete and metal siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area and living area reported by owner
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-In Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $217k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($40/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Mount Dora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in FL, #3,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 639 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $217k implies a 442% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,440
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3715 Dale Ct | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+13%) | 5mo | $228,900 | $183 | 69 |
| 1395 Morningside St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-0%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $209 | 67 |
| 807 Norman Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (-11%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $214 | 50 |
| 3771 Cactus Ln | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,015 (-8%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $232 | 48 |
| 3785 Vine Ln | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,083 (-2%) | 21mo | $369,900 | $342 | 48 |
| 2815 Westland Rd | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,112 (+1%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $247 | 47 |
| 4092 Lake Eleanor Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,116 (+1%) | 23mo | $312,000 | $280 | 42 |
| 1073 Central St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+11%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $265 | 39 |
| 2668 Westland Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,202 (+9%) | 22mo | $270,000 | $225 | 32 |
| 2729 Westland Rd | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 954 (-14%) | 16mo | $283,000 | $297 | 29 |
| 4034 Lake Eleanor Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+14%) | 19mo | $295,000 | $235 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-39,381
- Equity at exit
- $32,340
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-51,383
- Equity at exit
- $18,754
Cash invested: $60,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32757
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,137
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $3
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,225
- Closing costs
- $6,507
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1090 Emerald Dr Mount Dora, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,625 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1070 Emerald Dr Mount Dora, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 905 Marion Dr Mount Dora, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3550 Lake Center Dr Mount Dora, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1026 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 3d | 26 | 0.33mi |
| 835 Golden Isle Dr Mount Dora, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1400 Eudora Rd Mount Dora, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 777 | $1,499 | $1.93 | 5d | 4 | 0.39mi |
| 2390 Sheridan Rd Mount Dora, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,500 | $2.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1370 Greenway Dr Mt Dora, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2533 Bracknell Forest Trl Tavares, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2551 Bracknell Forest Trl Tavares, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,081 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2811 Ruleme St Eustis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 522 | $1,349 | $2.58 | 2d | 5 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $216,900 Pending 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $216,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $216,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-03price $216,900
-
2026-03-15status Active
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2026-02-06status Active
-
2026-01-30status Pending
-
2026-01-07$220,900 Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2025-08-19price $220,900
-
2025-06-30$224,900 Active
-
2025-06-02historical
-
2025-04-17price $219,900
-
2025-03-31price $210,900
-
2025-03-27status Active
-
2025-03-25status Pending
-
2025-03-21status Active
-
2025-03-20status Active
-
2025-03-17status Pending
-
2025-03-12$219,900 Active
-
2010-06-15soldstatus $40,000
-
2010-04-29$43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,150
- − Property taxes
- −$2,741
- − Insurance
- −$1,084
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,774
- − Management
- −$1,774
- − Depreciation
- −$6,310
- Taxable loss
- −$3,662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$879
- After-tax cash flow
- $919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mount Dora
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #3860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 34,121
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,121
- Household income
- $77,216
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 998.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.69%
- Current HPI
- 293.4759
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+404.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $216,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listed $220,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $220,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Listed $224,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $210,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-12 Listed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-15 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-29 Listed $43,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,741 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…