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410 Ogden Rd
B+ Composite 77.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

410 Ogden Rd · Springfield, OH 45503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 713 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1940 0.59 ac lot Est $131k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!

Key facts

  • 0.59 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $1,308 annual tax (2025)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1940; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot approximately 0.59 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 713 total living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $75k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
13.99%
Cash-on-cash
27.49%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,192
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Birch Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 757 (+6%) 16mo $139,000 $184 36
115 Lawnview Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 772 (+8%) 20mo $128,500 $166 36
140 Lawnview Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 654 (-8%) 24mo $155,000 $237 28
113 Lawnview Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+14%) 20mo $125,500 $154 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$18,511
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$55,684
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45503

Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,308/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $675
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-25
    listed $75,000 Active 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!

  18. 2026-05-25
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!

  19. 2022-07-19
    soldstatus $44,000 Closed 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.

  20. 2022-06-30
    status Pending 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.

  21. 2022-06-23
    listed $49,900 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.

  22. 1985-07-26
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,308 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,308 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,412
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,308
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,171
After-tax cash flow
$4,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clark-Shawnee Local
NCES district ID
3904628
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$59,411
Composite
50.29/100
National rank
#1884
State rank
#301 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clark · 134,280 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,673
Household income
$54,561
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
4.7

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.92%
Current HPI
257.5694
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $75,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $75,000 WRIST
  • 2022-07-19 Sold (MLS) $44,000 WRIST
  • 2022-06-30 Pending WRIST
  • 2022-06-23 Listed $49,900 WRIST
  • 1985-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,308 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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