410 Ogden Rd · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $1,308 annual tax (2025)
Exterior
- Utilities: Private sewer; Well water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1940; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block foundation; Built in 1940
- Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot approximately 0.59 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 713 total living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $75k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.49%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,192
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Birch Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 757 (+6%) | 16mo | $139,000 | $184 | 36 |
| 115 Lawnview Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 772 (+8%) | 20mo | $128,500 | $166 | 36 |
| 140 Lawnview Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 654 (-8%) | 24mo | $155,000 | $237 | 28 |
| 113 Lawnview Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+14%) | 20mo | $125,500 | $154 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $18,511
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $55,684
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45503
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,308/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-25$75,000 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!
-
2026-05-25$75,000 Active
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Are you looking for a project? This home needs a complete rehab and would be an ideal property for an investor or a fixer upper to make your own!
-
2022-07-19soldstatus $44,000 Closed 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.
-
2022-06-30status Pending 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.
-
2022-06-23$49,900 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Many options here! This property is located in the Shawnee School District! It is close to shopping, restaurants, movie theater , and more You can do a complete rehab and move in, fix it and flip it, or tear it down and build your dream home. Please check with zoning for new home. Updates include facia, porch, some landscaping, and a new window. Home is bigger than 716 sq ft Not included in the sq ft, is garage that has been converted to living space and the upstairs. Home is being sold as is. Septic has just been pumpped and is ready for the new owner. Taxes do not include an $8 a year special assessment for ditch maintenance. This is a go and show.
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1985-07-26soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,308 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,308 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,412
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,308
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,233
- − Management
- −$1,233
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,879
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,171
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark-Shawnee Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904628
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,411
- Composite
- 50.29/100
- National rank
- #1884
- State rank
- #301 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,673
- Household income
- $54,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.7
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.92%
- Current HPI
- 257.5694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $75,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $75,000 WRIST
- 2022-07-19 Sold (MLS) $44,000 WRIST
- 2022-06-30 Pending — WRIST
- 2022-06-23 Listed $49,900 WRIST
- 1985-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,308 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…