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TBD 140 Minwood St
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

TBD 140 Minwood St · Mineola, TX 75773
2 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,746 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1994 0.39 ac lot $52/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Dont miss out on this prime opportunity in Mineola! Located on a quiet street in a great neighborhood, this 2 bed, 1 bath home sits on a beautiful oversized lot with plenty of room to expand or customize. Originally converted from a shop, it offers a unique layout and tons of potential to make it your own. AI-enhanced photos are included to showcase possible finishes and design ideas. A rare chance to create something special in a highly desirable location!

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Unique layout
  • Oversized lot

Tags

QUIET STREETOVERSIZED LOTUNIQUE LAYOUTHIGHLY DESIRABLE LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.6% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#392 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Mineola ISD (town): math 54% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #190 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,900 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.99%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,826
List price
$90,000
Delta
-59.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
146 E Loop 564 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,781 (+2%) 14mo $239,900 $135 66
158 County Road 2426 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,758 (+1%) 8mo $275,000 $156 61
230 Minwood St 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,565 (-10%) 8mo $225,000 $144 60
2235 N Pacific St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,630 (-7%) 2mo $184,900 $113 58
1502 Robin St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,757 (+1%) 10mo $275,000 $157 57
181 Minwood St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,523 (-13%) 8mo $184,900 $121 55
1838 Park Pl 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,524 (-13%) 6mo $265,000 $174 55
320 Nuss Dr 0.64mi 2/1.5 1,701 (-3%) 11mo $210,000 $123 47
247 Spring Lake Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,964 (+12%) 13mo $350,000 $178 41
454 Pamela Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,965 (+12%) 6mo $210,000 $107 39
1245 N Newsom 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,818 (+4%) 18mo $197,000 $108 36
504 Meadowbrook St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,955 (+12%) 20mo $255,000 $130 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$10,928
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$42,685
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75773

Home prices YoY
-8.9%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$263 /mo · $3,151/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Isabella St Mineola, TX 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,350 $1.24 21d 1 0.50mi
806 N Newsom St Mineola, TX 3.0 2.5 1488 $1,750 $1.18 44d 1 1.08mi
803 Second St Mineola, TX 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,400 $1.21 13d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 91 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    price $97,500 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    Dont miss out on this prime opportunity in Mineola! Located on a quiet street in a great neighborhood, this 2 bed, 1 bath home sits on a beautiful oversized lot with plenty of room to expand or customize. Originally converted from a shop, it offers a unique layout and tons of potential to make it your own. AI-enhanced photos are included to showcase possible finishes and design ideas. A rare chance to create something special in a highly desirable location!

  17. 2026-03-11
    price $100,000 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    Dont miss out on this prime opportunity in Mineola! Located on a quiet street in a great neighborhood, this 2 bed, 1 bath home sits on a beautiful oversized lot with plenty of room to expand or customize. Originally converted from a shop, it offers a unique layout and tons of potential to make it your own. AI-enhanced photos are included to showcase possible finishes and design ideas. A rare chance to create something special in a highly desirable location!

  18. 2026-02-28
    listed $120,000 Active 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    Dont miss out on this prime opportunity in Mineola! Located on a quiet street in a great neighborhood, this 2 bed, 1 bath home sits on a beautiful oversized lot with plenty of room to expand or customize. Originally converted from a shop, it offers a unique layout and tons of potential to make it your own. AI-enhanced photos are included to showcase possible finishes and design ideas. A rare chance to create something special in a highly desirable location!

  19. 2022-05-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,151 · $263/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,151 · $263/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,784
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$3,151
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$883
After-tax cash flow
$3,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineola ISD
NCES district ID
4830930
Math proficiency
54% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$44,121
Composite
42.27/100
National rank
#3274
State rank
#190 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mineola

Score
69/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#8222

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,311

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,480 people
By 2030
47,796 · +2.8%
By 2040
50,142 · +7.9%
By 2050
52,122 · +12.1%
By 2075
57,033 · +22.7%
By 2100
56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.31%
Current HPI
227.0529
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $97,500 GTAR
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $100,000 GTAR
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $120,000 GTAR
  • 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+17.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,151 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…