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1005 Fairfax Dr
D Composite 40.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

1005 Fairfax Dr · Northport, AL 35406
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,650 sqft · Townhouse public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1984 3,920 sqft lot $145/sqft · 5% above area Est $228k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.

Key facts

  • Short-term rentals
  • No hoa
  • Built-in details

Tags

FAIRFAX VILLAGE COMMUNITYNO HOASHORT-TERM RENTALSBUILT-IN DETAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($771/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $240k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,989 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,010
List price
$239,900
Delta
5.21%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1083 Fairfax Dr Dr 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,650 (0%) 8mo $215,000 $130 86
1077 Fairfax Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,786 (+8%) 8mo $249,900 $140 75
1090 Fairfax Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,786 (+8%) 10mo $260,000 $146 72
2800 Belle Chase Ln #20 0.25mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,753 (+6%) 3mo $310,000 $177 68
1059 Fairfax Vlg 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,786 (+8%) 21mo $221,000 $124 64
163 22nd St N 0.65mi 3/2.5 1,610 (-2%) 6mo $235,000 $146 58
2800 Belle Chase Ln #8 0.25mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,853 (+12%) 6mo $290,000 $157 56
220 22nd St N 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,610 (-2%) 23mo $259,000 $161 47
135 22nd St N 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,610 (-2%) 19mo $274,900 $171 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-34,751
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-24,860
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35406

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,180 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 #202 Rice Valley Rd N Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,100 $1.17 44d 1 0.15mi
901 #202 Rice Valley Rd N Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,100 $1.17 21d 1 0.15mi
2800 Belle Chase Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 2228 $2,200 $0.99 13d 1 0.25mi
800 Energy Center Blvd Northport, AL 3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,784 $1.88 13d 1 0.71mi
500 Snows Mill Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 904 $1,100 $1.22 13d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $239,900 Pending 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,900 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,900 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,900 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $244,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $244,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $244,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $244,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $244,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-05-05
    price $244,000 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.

  13. 2026-03-31
    price $244,900 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.

  14. 2026-03-09
    listed $249,900 Active 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.

  15. 2014-12-09
    soldstatus $140,112
  16. 2014-12-04
    soldstatus $128,000 361-char remark
    Show marketing remark (361 chars)

    CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ONE OWNER TOWNHOUSE IN IMMACULATE CONDITION. PRECIOUS 3 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH FEATURING EAT-IN KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF COUNTER & CABINET SPACE. OPEN DINING ROOM AND FAMILY ROOM COMBO WITH FIREPLACE. MASTER BEDROOM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS TOWNHOUSE HAS GREAT COLORS THROUGHOUT! PERFECT FOR STUDENTS OR 1ST TIME HOMEBUYERS. A MUST SEE!

  17. 2014-06-16
    listed $134,900 361-char remark
    Show marketing remark (361 chars)

    CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ONE OWNER TOWNHOUSE IN IMMACULATE CONDITION. PRECIOUS 3 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH FEATURING EAT-IN KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF COUNTER & CABINET SPACE. OPEN DINING ROOM AND FAMILY ROOM COMBO WITH FIREPLACE. MASTER BEDROOM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS TOWNHOUSE HAS GREAT COLORS THROUGHOUT! PERFECT FOR STUDENTS OR 1ST TIME HOMEBUYERS. A MUST SEE!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,159
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,598
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,093
− Management
−$2,093
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$3,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$778
After-tax cash flow
$1,549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Northport

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2686

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northport, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
47,464
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,904
Household income
$119,250
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.51%
Current HPI
221.088
Rent YoY
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $244,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $244,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
  • 2014-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $140,112 Public Records
  • 2014-12-04 Sold (MLS) $128,000 WAMLS
  • 2014-06-16 Listed $134,900 WAMLS

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $473 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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