1005 Fairfax Dr · Northport, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.
Key facts
- Short-term rentals
- No hoa
- Built-in details
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($771/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $240k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.15%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,010
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- 5.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1083 Fairfax Dr Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,650 (0%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $130 | 86 |
| 1077 Fairfax Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,786 (+8%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $140 | 75 |
| 1090 Fairfax Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,786 (+8%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $146 | 72 |
| 2800 Belle Chase Ln #20 | 0.25mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,753 (+6%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $177 | 68 |
| 1059 Fairfax Vlg | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,786 (+8%) | 21mo | $221,000 | $124 | 64 |
| 163 22nd St N | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,610 (-2%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 2800 Belle Chase Ln #8 | 0.25mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,853 (+12%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 220 22nd St N | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,610 (-2%) | 23mo | $259,000 | $161 | 47 |
| 135 22nd St N | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,610 (-2%) | 19mo | $274,900 | $171 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-34,751
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-24,860
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35406
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,180 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 #202 Rice Valley Rd N Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 901 #202 Rice Valley Rd N Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2800 Belle Chase Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2228 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 800 Energy Center Blvd Northport, AL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,784 | $1.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 500 Snows Mill Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13status $239,900 Pending 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $244,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $244,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $244,000 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.
-
2026-03-31price $244,900 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.
-
2026-03-09$249,900 Active 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
Ideally located just minutes from The University of Alabama, grocery stores, shopping, and dining. Nestled on a cul-de-sac, this home offers both convenience and comfort in one of Tuscaloosa’s most accessible locations. This well-maintained property has had only two owners and features fantastic bones along with built-in details that add character and functionality. No HOA, gives homeowners greater flexibility and the potential for short-term rentals- a rare opportunity so close to campus. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, game-day getaway, or investment opportunity, this inviting home offers location, charm, and flexibility. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer will remain.
-
2014-12-09soldstatus $140,112
-
2014-12-04soldstatus $128,000 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ONE OWNER TOWNHOUSE IN IMMACULATE CONDITION. PRECIOUS 3 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH FEATURING EAT-IN KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF COUNTER & CABINET SPACE. OPEN DINING ROOM AND FAMILY ROOM COMBO WITH FIREPLACE. MASTER BEDROOM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS TOWNHOUSE HAS GREAT COLORS THROUGHOUT! PERFECT FOR STUDENTS OR 1ST TIME HOMEBUYERS. A MUST SEE!
-
2014-06-16$134,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ONE OWNER TOWNHOUSE IN IMMACULATE CONDITION. PRECIOUS 3 BEDROOM, 2.5 BATH FEATURING EAT-IN KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF COUNTER & CABINET SPACE. OPEN DINING ROOM AND FAMILY ROOM COMBO WITH FIREPLACE. MASTER BEDROOM WITH LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS TOWNHOUSE HAS GREAT COLORS THROUGHOUT! PERFECT FOR STUDENTS OR 1ST TIME HOMEBUYERS. A MUST SEE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,093
- − Management
- −$2,093
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$3,242
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$778
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Northport
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2686
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northport, AL
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 47,464
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,904
- Household income
- $119,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.51%
- Current HPI
- 221.088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+80.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $244,000 WAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $244,900 WAMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
- 2014-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $140,112 Public Records
- 2014-12-04 Sold (MLS) $128,000 WAMLS
- 2014-06-16 Listed $134,900 WAMLS
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $473 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…