243 1st Ave SW · Dickinson, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Information not provided
- Financial info: Tax information available
- HOA & community: Information not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Security: Information not provided
- Utilities: Information not provided
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one half stories
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 7,100 sq. ft. (about 50 x 142)
Interior
- Kitchen: Information not provided
- Bedrooms: Information not provided
- Flooring: Information not provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
- Interior features: 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Information not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.40%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,800
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $17,394
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58601
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-01-15$79,900 Active
-
2007-11-21soldstatus
-
2006-10-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,188 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,188 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,188
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,176
- − Management
- −$1,176
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,960
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$470
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dickinson 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800038
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,270
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5080
- State rank
- #29 of 53 in ND
Livability — Dickinson
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dickinson, ND
- County
- Stark County · 29,916 people
- City population
- 29,916
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,916
- Household income
- $85,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 813.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,426 people
- By 2030
- 60,812 · +20.6%
- By 2040
- 84,155 · +66.9%
- By 2050
- 110,718 · +119.6%
- By 2075
- 186,710 · +270.3%
- By 2100
- 264,902 · +425.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.57%
- Current HPI
- 188.1029
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Listed $79,900 GFAAR
- 2007-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,188 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…