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243 1st Ave SW
B- Composite 68.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

243 1st Ave SW · Dickinson, ND 58601
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 958 sqft · Other · 155 Days on market
Built 1910 7,100 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 7,100 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Information not provided
  • Financial info: Tax information available
  • HOA & community: Information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Information not provided
  • Utilities: Information not provided
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one half stories
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 7,100 sq. ft. (about 50 x 142)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Information not provided
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Flooring: Information not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Information not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.40%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$1,800
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$17,394
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58601

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,188/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 135 DOM
  17. 2026-01-15
    listed $79,900 Active
  18. 2007-11-21
    soldstatus
  19. 2006-10-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,188 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,188 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,700
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$3,188
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,176
− Management
−$1,176
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$1,960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$470
After-tax cash flow
$2,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson 1
NCES district ID
3800038
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,270
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5080
State rank
#29 of 53 in ND

Livability — Dickinson

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dickinson, ND
County
Stark County · 29,916 people
City population
29,916
Metro
Dickinson, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,916
Household income
$85,821
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
813.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.57%
Current HPI
188.1029
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Dickinson, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $79,900 GFAAR
  • 2007-11-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,188 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…